There’s always something to howl about.

Month: August 2007 (page 8 of 9)

Can I Still Get a Mortgage in Today’s Lending Markets? With Cold Hard Cash and Great Credit, Certainly; Otherwise…

On Friday, August 3rd American Home Mortgage officially closed its doors. That same week Standard & Poor’s cut its outlook on Bear Stearns from stable to negative amid fears of firm wide exposure to subprime lending and the leverage finance market. If all that were not bad enough, the leveraged financed market has essentially shut down. The questions on everyone’s mind are: What is next, how will this affect the housing market, and will loans be available in the near future?

To start on a positive note, yes, there will be plenty of loans available in the near future. Unfortunately these loans will only be available to borrowers with good to excellent credit, who have a reasonable down payment (5-10%). Mortgage lenders and banks have gone beyond scared to downright petrified because they can only see the tip of the iceberg. For the readers out there who are not familiar with icebergs, typically everything above the surface (what one could see) represents 10% of the total mass of the iceberg.

Continuing with that analogy, most analysts expect this situation to get significantly worse before it gets better. While Bear Stearns and American Home Mortgage have been the latest news whipping boy, the market has quietly downgraded many (if not all) banks and mortgage lenders. Furthermore, banks know exactly what they are holding, whether they admit it or not. To soften the final blow, expect them to raise rates, charge higher fees, and tighten their approval process. Even though many financial institutions are being very hush-hush about how much of the bag they are holding, they are diligently working to limit any future exposure.

For a borrower that means anything outside of plain vanilla conforming loans will be very hard to come by. But we here at Bloodhound would be remiss if we only gave readers the gloom and doom story. Despite all of this, here are some suggestions that might help ease some of the burden for those currently looking for financing.

Get a GREAT Mortgage Broker

While this could be my Bloodhound tag line, this is the time where it will pay dividends. Many lenders Read more

Why didn’t your house sell? Price, preparation, presentation — and availability

This is me from my column in the Arizona Republic (permanent link):

 
Why didn’t your house sell? Price, preparation, presentation — and availability

So your house didn’t sell. Now what?

Six months ago — or was it a year ago? — the world was young and ripe for the picking. You listed your home for sale, confident that you’d have a buyer in no time. Full price and then some. Why not? The neighbors got it. Sure, that was two years ago, but you have better carpets and new countertops.

So you talked to three Realtors and hired the one who said he could get your price. His marketing plan was long on networking and short on practical details, but — what the heck? — houses sell themselves, don’t they?

You read an article a while back about staging, but you don’t need that. You’ve got great furniture. And even though your Rotweiller is hardly ever a problem, it seemed prudent to make the listing by-appointment-only.

This is the way it is: In most neighborhoods in the Valley right now, there are at least five homes for sale that might work for each buyer in the marketplace. The only homes that will sell are the ones that are priced, prepared, and presented right and are available for buyers to see.

Why did your listing expire? You missed the market in one or more of those criteria. If you priced your home above the market, you sabotaged your sale from the outset. Prices are declining in most areas, so even if you made successive price reductions, you were probably still always above market value.

If the house wasn’t repaired and staged to perfection, buyers bought the homes that were. If it wasn’t available to be shown, there is no possibility it could have sold. And, alas, if you fell for happy babble about your Realtor’s vast network of relationships, then all you were missing was a marketing plan.

What now? If you need to sell now, relist at the market price — with a Realtor who has a real marketing plan and detailed instructions for you. If you can afford to Read more

“My task which I am trying to achieve is, by the power of the written word, to make you hear, to make you feel — it is, before all, to make you see. That — and no more, and it is everything. If I succeed, you shall find there according to your deserts: encouragement, consolation, fear, charm — all you demand; and, perhaps, also that glimpse of truth for which you have forgotten to ask.”

This is Joseph Conrad’s preface to The Nigger of the “Narcissus”:

A work that aspires, however humbly, to the condition of art should carry its justification in every line. And art itself may be defined as a single-minded attempt to render the highest kind of justice to the visible universe, by bringing to light the truth, manifold and one, underlying its every aspect. It is an attempt to find in its forms, in its colours, in its light, in its shadows, in the aspects of matter and in the facts of life, what of each is fundamental, what is enduring and essential — their one illuminating and convincing quality — the very truth of their existence. The artist, then, like the thinker or the scientist, seeks the truth and makes his appeal. Impressed by the aspect of the world the thinker plunges into ideas, the scientist into facts — whence, presently, emerging they make their appeal to those qualities of our being that fit us best for the hazardous enterprise of living. They speak authoritatively to our common-sense, to our intelligence, to our desire of peace or to our desire of unrest; not seldom to our prejudices, sometimes to our fears, often to our egoism — but always to our credulity. And their words are heard with reverence, for their concern is with weighty matters: with the cultivation of our minds and the proper care of our bodies; with the attainment of our ambitions; with the perfection of the means and the glorification of our precious aims.

It is otherwise with the artist.

Confronted by the same enigmatical spectacle the artist descends within himself, and in that lonely region of stress and strife, if he be deserving and fortunate, he finds the terms of his appeal. His appeal is made to our less obvious capacities: to that part of our nature which, because of the warlike conditions of existence, is necessarily kept out of sight within the more resisting and hard qualities — like the vulnerable body within the steel armour. His appeal is less loud, more profound, less distinct, more stirring — and Read more

Project Perfect Blogger – Applying What I’ve Learned.

Yesterday I shared the formula for the perfect Blog post. I acquired this wisdom at the Inman conference, and now it is time to test my new skills as I attempt to target the Scripps Ranch home buyer (and risk killing this bit once and for all). Note to feed reader clients: You may not get the photos, which is a big part of the schtick.

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HOW TO FIND A SCRIPPS RANCH REAL ESTATE AGENT FOR BUYING A SCRIPPS RANCH HOME KRIS BERG KRIS BERG KRIS BERG

If you are planning to relocate to Scripps Ranch from somewhere far from Scripps Ranch, you will probably fly to Scripps Ranch. When you arrive in Scripps Ranch, boy, will your arms be tired!

Many Scripps Ranch real estate agents, like myself, live in Scripps Ranch. Many unnamed others have won awards and recognition for their service to consumers wanting to buy homes in Scripps Ranch. Certainly, you have many choices when selecting a real estate agent, and you will likely want to align yourself with someone ranking above the 85% percentile, or one standard deviation above the mean, on your typical Bell Curve, but this Normal Curve is anything but normal in that the population is diverse, thereby resulting in a flatter graph.

You will be 172.9% more likely to find the perfect Scripps Ranch home, when compared to the 30-day Gross Domestic Product rolling average and taking into account the annualized per capita income of Celtic women, than other consumers if your agent is a Scripps Ranch neighborhood specialist.

If you have children, you are probably concerned with Scripps Ranch schools in Scripps Ranch. Hypothetically speaking, your agent might have two daughters currently attending Scripps Ranch High School and would therefore be the perfect Scripps Ranch Realtor to help you buy a home (in Scripps Ranch). This illustrative “type” of agent would also be infinitely (a figure of speech as, technically, it is not possible to divide a number by zero) more likely to speak to local sports opportunities, such as Volleyball Camps, and even Exchange Programs to, say, Cairo. That is, if you find Read more

The Perfect Blog – The Preamble (but it’s not really a Blog)

I can go home happy now. In just one short morning spent in the Palace Hotel Gold Room, I learned how to write the Perfect Blog. No one person has the answer, of course, but by aggregating the wisdom shared by the collective mind of the blogging greats who spoke to us this week, I have the fail safe recipe for blogging infamy and success. I won’t name names, but following are the essential ingredients according to the blogging Who’s Who:

  1. Blogs should be short. Readers are Scanners (they are busy, busy people), and five paragraphs in size is the ABSOLUTE MAX. Otherwise, you will… What was I saying? Oh, yeah. You’ll lose your… What do you call them? Readers. Do I smell pot roast?
  2. Avoid being self-congratulatory. No particularly reason given, but we can take the leap that nobody likes a braggart. As one who has never been recognized nor been the recipient of a prestiguous honor, ever, I totally agree.
  3. Focus on the consumers, not on the agents. The consumers should never see healthy discourse among agents. Where’s the fun in that? Much better to have a site where you receive, oh, zero comments on a lengthy (five paragraph MAX) position statement on the value of hiring a top-producing neighborhood specialist. If people enjoyed voyeurism and lurking, they would frequent porn sites.
  4. Make sure your title and your content are Keyword Rich. Whether you aspire to dominate San Diego real estate or the picnic catering industry in Maricopa County, you should pick words that work toward that end. An expert who does this stuff for a living said (and I am not making this up) that, within 6 months, my blog should be getting 2,000 unique visitors a day. After 15 months, I am just 1974 shy of that number. (Self derogatory comment alert! 5 Bonus Points awarded for achieving #2 above).
  5. Use tons and gobs and bizillions of pictures. See #1 above (Technorati Tag: Attention Deficit Disorder).
  6. Use Technorati Tags. See #3 above. The consumers are all searching on Technorati for the best real estate agent in (name your city). The guy who lives Read more

Glenn Kelman at Inman – He Hits a Home Run

I don’t know what in the hell is going on now. I just watched the video of Glenn Kelman speaking at the Inman Event and found myself liking Glenn Kelman. I know, I just wrote that. He was funny, remarkably candid and made a lot of good points. Have I changed any views I have regarding Redfin? No, and I really doubt that every time Greg Swann writes about him it is “good for business”, as he claimed. But setting aside any thoughts I have about the Redfin business model, I doubt I will ever view Glenn, the person, the same way again. In the past, I have tended to demonize him when talking about him or what he has done – and I really don’t like ad hominem attacks.

I wrote in the headline that he hit a home run. It wasn’t out of the park (I got that line from Jeff Brown) but still, a home run. As I have been so willing to say what I didn’t like, I thought it only fair to also say what I did.

Ask the Broker- Did I Invest in a Sub-Prime Mortgage?

Scott asks:

How can you tell if you have a sub-prime mortgage bond in a portfolio?

Scott, I’m taking a stab at this. I haven’t sold securities in 14 years. Mortgage-backed securities, in the early 90s, were mostly Ginnie Mae pass-through certificates or Agency-issued pass-throughs and collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs). There were a few CMOs, issued by non-agency issuers, that may have contained a non-prime loan or two to “juice the yield”. Collateralized Debt Obligations, generally devoid of whole loan mortgages, may have been infiltrated these past few years.

How about this, Scott? I can’t say IF you have a sub prime loan in your portfolio. I can say that sub prime loans won’t be collateralizing GNMA, FNMA, or FHLMC issues. If you own an instrument comprised of primarily these issues, you should be in the clear.

Michael, your more current knowledge and experience might be more precise.

My Pictoral Highlights From Inman Real Estate Connect

It was an interesting three days in San Francisco for Real Estate Connect 2007. I’ll leave the commentary to people more funny than me.

Courtesy of Palm Burgandy, here’s my brief pictorial:

In SFO, it's better to spare a square

You know you’re in San Francisco when the airport tells you to only use one square.

The view from the podium at Bloggers Connect 2007

This is the view from the podium during my panel session. 12 minutes after this photo was taken, Joe from Sellsius tumbled from the stage and sprained his left wrist.

Bird poop on my shoulder

I met an old friend for drink in Haight-Ashbury. The cab dropped me off in the wrong place. I use Palm Burgandy’s Google Maps feature to get back on track and have to walk through Sketchville Golden Gate Park. As soon as I am in the clear, I walk under a tree and a bird decides to crap on my shoulder. Look at the size of that poop. In hindsight, I think it may have been a pterodactyl.

Trulia pranks Zillow

My favorite gag of the week. Thursday morning, I walk through the exhibit hall and see Zillow’s stand. As I walk past, I look at the computer screen out front. Now, that’s comedy. Meanwhile, it’s 9:30 A.M. and I frantically looking for somebody else to laugh at this with. There’s a woman about 8 steps behind me. For as much excitement there was in my voice, there was an equal disinterest in hers. Clearly, not everyone knows who Zillow and Trulia are in Real Estate.

Union Square Concert

Thursday night, I felt like adventuring so I walked to Union Square. There, I found a city-sponsored jazz concert. The area was packed with people and a lot of them had taken to dancing. Pretty cool stuff and a nice night to be outdoors.

Am I missing something? The NAR Experience.

Am I missing something?

At the moment, I am conventioned out, one tired buckaroo. So, I am playing hookie this evening and, undoubtedly, missing out on some life-changing announcement. “Zillow has made a $40 gazillion offer to purchase the San Diego Home Blog. Is Kris Berg in the audience?” Nope.

Last night, Noah Rosenblatt and I were briefly discussing the Great Divide that is the audience at Inman. In the far corner of the ring we have the geek-inclined or, more appropriately, the brokers, agents and other industry players who are giving their all to stay relevant and to evolve: To survive. In the other, we have the challengers who are retreating to the lobby after each session to debate the day’s hottest topics, such as how to spell Truliadotcom or, for that matter, how to open their web browser.

Who was NAR CEO Dale Stinton speaking to? The answer is “c”. None of the above. Or, maybe I’m just missing something.

Unlike Greg, I was impressed with Zillow‘s Rich Barton. Call his remarks an attempt at poetry or self-serving fluff, but this guy is trying. And, I sincerely believe that he believes that not only is the fabric of our industry changing, but the fabric of our world. He is smart and cunning, and attempting to lead the revolution. And he is amassing more wealth than I could hope to accumulate in 40 lifetimes doing what I (love to) do.

Then came Dale. Forgetting that his demeanor was the incarnation of the stereotypical, bureaucratic, myopic real estate agent image that has become our industry albatross, his big light-at-the-end-of-the-tunnel, “I’m comin’, Beany-Boy!” message was that our Realtor dues would be increasing. Why?

He gave many examples of great new things that our dues would be underwriting. Since I am too lazy to go back and watch Inman TV, I will paraphrase. First, the BOARD (bow heads in reverence) has allocated funds to send Dale to “more of these kinds of events”. Great. I’m paying for Dale Stinton and me to go to Inman. Next, the BOARD (avert eyes in respect) has authorized vast amounts of our money Read more

How do you define a neighborhood? You don’t. How do you obtain neighborhood expertise? Go to neighborhood expert.

I’m quoting from David Gibbons from Zillow.com. He wrote these remarks in a comment, but I’m pulling them out because it’s an interesting topic: How can web-based vendors build databases of neighborhood expertise?

What you are seeing in the neighborhood space is the lack of any predefined neighborhood database. It’s never been done before and so, while there’s a great place to start when building a taxonomy of regions at any other level, neighborhoods are tough to build.

The 6,500 neighborhoods currently defined on Zillow were done by hand. We’ve talked this through with outside.in – they took the same approach. The solution is to allow homeowners to collaboratively describe their neighborhoods and we’ll iterate towards that but even homeowners seldom agree on neighborhood designations and boundaries. It’s an interesting problem to solve.

That’s what I said. This is me when Zillow 6 was released:

What does all this have to do with Zillow.com?

I think they’ve made a mistake in their approach to community building, a mistake that will prevent a true community from emerging from all their efforts.

As an example, what is a neighborhood? It’s not what Zillow says it is, and it’s not what some city council says it is. A neighborhood is what the neighbors say it is, and, as in my North Central Phoenix neighborhood, neighbors can differ about what the neighborhood really is.

So how should Zillow define the neighborhoods it hopes end-users will create content around?

It shouldn’t. It should let the users define the neighborhoods, and if there are different interpretations of what the neighborhood is, it should allow the proponents of those different ideas to create multiple competing neighborhood descriptions. When one starts to draw all the attention and the other fades away, Zillow can snuff the loser. Until then, the neighborhood advocates will have an investment in creating content for Zillow, and an avid interest in getting their friends to the site to show off what they have created.

In other words, they will have created a virtual analogue of their neighborhood as a means of defining and describing it. This is an atom-sized on-line community, an acorn from Read more

Inman Connect Grand Poobahthon: Stinton: ‘Freedom stinks worse than banks in real estate’; Singer: ‘The only trouble with the MLS is the MLS — and the agents’; Barton: ‘I have visions of gesticulating green-grocers, so that must be good for real estate’

I can’t think of any argument against oral presentations better than the stuff that comes out of the mouths of the people making them.

From InmanBlog, NAR CEO Dale Stinton says:

“If there ever was a case study for banks staying out of real estate it’s the subprime market.” He also said that the subprime situation is an example of the “inevitability of an open society,” “of going too far, too fast,” and “of liquidity in the marketplaces.”

See, it was the lenders who caused these problems, not the sacrosanct tax giveaways to homeowners and real estate investors. And god spare us all from an “an open society” (that is to say, not a police state) and “liquidity in the marketplaces” (money, that is). I’m thinking Stinton had to borrow extra feet from Glenn Kelman to put in his mouth.

Joel Singer, “president of real estate business services for the California Association of Realtors,” was not to be outdone:

“The brokerage industry to a large degree has ceded too much power to the agents. Once you have entrenched power … more importantly, once you have entrenched economic power — the economics are that the MLSs actually have more funding than the organized real estate itself — it becomes very difficult to overcome that.”

I think that says that the obstacle to MLS reform is posed by the MLS systems themselves, which leads me to expect a radical legislative intervention. If you’re a real estate licensee but not an brokerage owner or designated broker, hide your wallet.

But: The prize would seem to go to Zillow.com founder Rich Barton, who summoned forth this vision:

“I see an old-style marketplace formed, a city market like Pike Place Market. I actually dug up an old photo — Pike Place Market at the turn of the last century. People were gesticulating. People were buying things. People were gossiping. Negotiations were happening. Big billboards were advertising things above the marketplace. That’s the picture I have in my head.”

I think this is meant to be poetry — except poetry rhymes, scans and makes sense.

I’m sure Stinton is not an actual Commissar, despite his derision of Read more

How to SUCK as a Realtor

angry.jpgAfter spending a lot of time this week following up on various ads, trying to track down Realtors to ask quick questions about their listings and spending time on “competitors'” websites and blogs, I have determined that there is a formula to how to SUCK as a Realtor. Part of my appeal as a contributor is that I’m not a Realtor. I don’t practice Real Estate, but I’m involved just enough to witness why people have a poor perception of the industry. If you want to SUCK as a Realtor, be sure to follow these tips in acronym form:

1.) Silence your phone so that you never have to answer it or get that pesky noise that the voicemail thingy makes when I leave a series of messages over several days. Even though I simply say, “I have a question about your advertisement, I’m interested in learning more,” and you can’t tell if I am a buyer or not, you should never answer that phone or return calls. Otherwise, someone might think that you are a good Realtor.

2.) Untimeliness with emails is key. If you really want to suck as a Realtor, make sure to check your email no more than once a week. That’s really pushing it… you should probably only check monthly. And then don’t respond. Even if someone is interested in submitting an offer and you’ve followed step 1 and plan on following step 5.

3.) Condescending anyone that crosses your path is crucial- other Realtors, buyers, sellers, the paper boy and kittens. You are clearly smarter and more established than anyone in the industry, never mind your ’85 Escort that just pooped emissions on our office driveway. Make sure in meetings to use the words “Top Realtor” and “better than” at least seven times.

4.) Competency is for suckas. If you are able to comprehend basic RE law, how to perform the dial function of a phone, or how to unlock a door with an eKey, you definitely don’t SUCK as a Realtor… you should try harder if you want to be the “Top Suckey Realtor.” I know how Read more

Quick notes on Inman’s Bloggers Connect

I’m juggling eggs in negotiations on between $0 and $2.2 million in new listings, but I’ve been following Inman’s Bloggers Connect off and on by RSS feed and email.

Paul Chaney at the Blogging Systems Group Blog was going great guns this morning, but I think maybe his laptop battery died. His summaries of this morning’s events are very good, though.

Kris Berg emailed that Teri Lussier and I did not win the Project Blogger contest, but I would have been stunned if we had. If you’re going into a competition with the intention of doing everything your own damn way, your only chance of winning is if the judging is based on how well you do things your own damn way. In that regard, BloodhoundBlog should win the Inman Innovator award — but I won’t be stunned if we don’t. Doing things your own damn way is its own damn reward, after all.

Mail from Teri:

Well…
 
My apologies to Cathy and her indignant cats, and I hope I didn’t let you down. OTOH, I’m quite pleased with my blog.
 
I had an interesting comment on TBR last night that made me think that I must be doing something right with it. And this reader is a Daytonian, and not in real estate, and has little patience for Realtors.
 
I don’t know if I would have changed anything to do it again… Although. If I had put an idiot widget and a few goofy graphics in occasionally to bust up the dreaded “wall of text”, I suppose Cathy’s cats would be well fed tonight. But since I really hate those, I’d probably end up hating TBR as well.  ;)
 
I’ve enjoyed the journey enormously!

Indeed. Likewise. And that “Well…” is just too perfect. Eudora Welty lives on at The Brick Ranch.

Inman Blog reports that Redfin.com’s Glenn Kelman claims that I am sending them business:

“Greg has long been my antagonist, and of course he is our best friend,” Kelman said. “Everytime he writes about us, he brings us business.”

I find that difficult to believe, but Kelman also said, of 60 Minutes Reporter Lesley Stahl:

“She kept saying I was full of s__t.”

This I find Read more

Great Taste – Inman Update

I am not a towering figure, for sure. At 5′ 4 3/4″ inches, I can typically find my way through a crowd with some stylish heels in the equation.

Last night, I felt like a Hobbit. And 360-Marlow (Harris) was right there with me. Who knew Zillow’s Drew Meyers (shown here with Marlow and Uber-Mike from Ubertor) was so tall?

(Correction: Alert reader Steve Jagger from Ubertor pointed out that this is actually none other than… Steve Jagger, although I still say he was channeling Drew. Sorry, Uber-Steve. Now, put my Ubertor website back online).

Beer with Bloggers was a kick in the proverbial britches. The infamous and utterly delightful Ardell was there with her entourage of strapping men including her charming and striking husband, her Project, Kevin Tomlinson (who I think moonlights as an Abercrombie model and assures me he is of legal drinking age), and the Rain City Boys (Dustin also assures me he is of legal drinking age, though the jury is still out).

And speaking of tall, Noah brought his super-model caliber wife. Now I’m a Hobbit and I feel the sudden need for Botox.

I schlepped the camera to the Thirsty Bear, the site of the Suds Fest, and the subsequent Trulia bash with the best of intentions. Unfortunately, I returned to my room with mostly pictures of the floor, my purse, and the lens cap. I was distracted, by the Who’s Who of the crowd for sure, but also by Mortgage Reports Dan (Green) who kept spilling my drinks, one resulting in glass shards. And, don’t let him tell you otherwise.

Kevin Boer was there, as were the Sellsius boys, Boise Phil Hoover, and about four hundred thousand others. Apparently, somewhere between the two events, 872 new blogs and bloggers were born, as the Trulia event was stifling and reminiscent of a Stones concert. I bailed early and, Steve will appreciate this, unable to find the bread crumbs I had left throughout the streets of San Francisco earlier in the evening, returned to my hotel one hour later via Albuquerque.

Last night was fun. Today I am on a mission to identify Read more