I’ll say up front that this subject is one maybe better written by Captain Obvious. Yet, if it’s so obvious why are so many investors consistently caught with their pants down? As a real estate investment advisor I’m asked all the time about when to buy or sell. I do not claim to have either a lucky and talkative bird or a working crystal ball. I can say however, (obvious comment coming) that paying attention to the market pays off.
I thought I was a year late getting into both Phoenix and Boise – 20/20 hindsight. I wasn’t late as in miss the boat late. I just didn’t have that little birdie whispering to me exactly when and where to invest. I had to rely on my own experience, research, and judgment. It’s easy to say, “Yeah, I just decided it was time to move my clients to this or that region.” It’s a lot harder decision to actually execute when your clients are looking to you for guidance. Correct guidance.
How often have we all heard timing is everything? In real estate how much would our overall investment performance have been improved had we known in advance exactly when a down or normal market was about to skyrocket? What if you were in East Toilet Seat Rhode Island in 1999 wondering just what you should do with that $50K burning a hole in your pocket? Suddenly a little birdie landed on your shoulder and whispered, “Hey big guy, buy all you can with as low a down payment as possible — in San Diego. The only thing you knew about SD was its predictably great weather.
Your timing would have made you look like a genius. Of course if you were that bright you would’ve traded up a couple times before doing a third trade into Phoenix around the middle of 2003. By that time your $50K would have grown to more than $400K. (drawn from client file) We all know what happened in Phoenix from that point on. You knew it before hand because of your talkative birdie. He whispered again, telling Read more