There’s always something to howl about.

Category: Investment (page 16 of 20)

The Carnival of Real Estate . . .

…is up at ReyEstate. This week’s winner is a fanzine article about Emmitt Smith, who is Dancing With The Real Estate Stars.

We entered Kris Berg’s podcast interview with Redfin.com CEO Glenn Kelman. I have an inkling the podcast went unaudited at ReyEstate:

The “Kissing Booth” was in full operation this week and Redfin’s CEO Glenn Kelman was charming the crowd. You can find the fluff slappy happy write-up on BloodHoundBlog…

That sounds just like us.

We have actually listened to the podcast, so we know why Kris deserves to win this week’s Carnival of BloodhoundBlog.

As a reminder, we’re hosting next week’s Carnival of Real Estate Investing.

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Why Small Investors Should NOT Stress About Interest Rates

Interest rates and the small investor, is there really an effect? Beyond the obvious cost of borrowing, I have wondered if the small investor really notices a change in the Fed Funds rate. While I am not going to make the same mistake of asking you all to humor me, I am going to try to show that the small investor is less sensitive to smaller changes in rates. I am also starting with the assumption that smaller investors tend to invest in markets with higher cap rates.

First, let’s get some things clear so we are starting from the same page. If we consider the value of commercial real estate, we can approximate it with a simple formula, Net Operating Income (NOI) divided by the cap rate. Additionally, let’s assume that the cap rate acts as a proxy for investor demand. This makes sense because NOI is simply based the rents collected, while cap rate is the return investors will accept for those rents. In markets with very low cap rates, investors are willing to pay more for rents now because they expect a higher rate of future rent growth than lower cap rate properties and/or they expect lower volatility in those rents or they expect even lower cap rates in the future (appreciation).

Next, let’s think about investing. Most investors try to leverage their properties as much as possible. Banks understand this, so they enforce strict standards. Typically investors can get 80% Loan to Value terms, as long as Debt Service Coverage Ratios (DSCR) comes in at 1.2. The DSCR is simply NOI/Debt Payments. In markets with lower cap rates, this becomes more important because the higher value creates higher debt payments. This situation creates a cap rate floor for smaller investors, who have less financing options. Investors who focus on $1 Million and under properties do not have the same access to financing because their loans are not as profitable and harder to move in the securitization market.

Then, we have to analyze the effect of a 1% change in interest rates on loan terms. Looking at a $500,000 loan with Read more

Small But Helpful Tip — Practical Use Of After-Tax Analysis

You’re a married couple in your mid-30’s living in your first home, bought five years ago. You’ve discussed your future, especially as it relates to retirement, and agree that real estate provides a much more predictable potential for capital growth. You have about $20K in your company retirement plans combined. Your cash savings amount to about $8K, held as a cushion and for peace of mind. You realize you have enough home equity to pull enough cash out to begin your real estate investment portfolio. However, you’re not sure about much else. You decide buying a small duplex in your area makes the most sense because they seem to be priced about the same as your home, which is now worth about $300K or so. You contact your buddy Fred who sold you your home way back. He asks what you want to buy and where. Before you know it Fred has half a dozen duplexes ready for your inspection.

mens shoes

This approach should raise a giant red flag, as you’ve now been designated by your buddy Fred, as knowledgeable investors. If that doesn’t scare you, you’re truly fearless. πŸ™‚ You have stumbled upon what I call the Nordstrom’s Shoe Salesman Syndrome, or NSSS. Of course, Nordstrom’s approach is wildly successful as perceived by its very loyal customers — as far as selling shoes is concerned. They don’t sell income properties. I’ve discussed this before.

Your ‘analysis’ of these properties will be superficial at best because you’re looking at money in, money out, and your budget. Nothing wrong with that, as far as it goes. But as a first time investor you should also understand just how important after-tax analysis is. It can go straight to your weekly paycheck if you understand how it works.

If you guys are in the federal tax bracket of 25% and state bracket of 5%, every dollar ‘lost’ through the use of depreciation will act as a producer of positive cash flow. “What?” you ask.

If you purchase one of those duplexes for say, $300K you’ll be able to show depreciation of roughly $12K which will include both the Read more

Helpless In San Diego — Or Any Place Like It — Get Outa Dodge Now

This is somewhat of a ‘simulcast’ with my own blog, as I just published a longer piece on the same subject for the second day in a row. I think it’s important.

This is for those investors living in areas like San Diego.

You know, median home price around half a million, and rents for the ‘average’ 2 bedroom rental $1,000-1,300 a month. I’d say if your median home price is over $400K your area probably qualifies.

In San Diego a boring but safely located duplex sells for $480-700K, and a fourplex goes for $750K-1Mil. In the next 10 years those ranges will have climbed, probably significantly. If over the next decade San Diego appreciates at just 3.5% yearly, the top of the range for duplexes will have reached just under $1Mil! And there’s not been a decade in the last four with an average of only 3.5% appreciation in San Diego. Tell me seriously — who is going to consider that a good investment? Unless they flew in from San Francisco they’re going to think the owner is over medicating.

So I see a paradox.

dodge city

Investors owning rental property in areas like San Diego will see them appreciate, only to find it very difficult locating that last fool who thinks it’s still a solid investment. They’ll get the growth they gambled on, but won’t be able to cash in. Impotent growth. (The name of my new band.):)

The solution?

Get outa Dodge now.

You’ll be happy to know there are a few regions in the country where you can buy property for way less, while also using low down payments. You’ll be back on the growth track, only now you’ll be in control of 2-4 times the property (in terms of value). This will turbo charge your capital growth rate magnificently.

Make use of a tax deferred exchange (1031) to move your equity to one of these lower priced growth areas. Do it now. You’re losing money staying in San Diego or any place like it. And your capital’s future isn’t bright.

Unless of course you think there will be a bull market for million dollar duplexes.

Value Investing 101

Value may be easier to find than you think. A few days ago I read this article about Florida Mobile home buyers and thought, man; I need to get into mobile homes. To be fair, I am probably not going to get into mobile homes (certainly not because of this article), but it is clear there is value everywhere. This off the wall scenario happens all the time, heck; it’s what makes real estate an exciting business to be in. So if value is easier to find than you think, where do you start looking?
First, start in your own backyard. I have shared my views on out of state investing in a previous post, so it should not come as a surprise when I say that value can be found close to home. I say this because the small investor knows this environment best. Investing at home is a lot more feel, than numbers because an investor has developed a great sense of the market. As investors move further and further away, information gathering and financial modeling become the chief tool. Of course, this is not to say that you should not use these tools in local investing, however; it is to say you have other tools that may be more valuable (intuition and market knowledge).
Second, find the crowd and look to the peripherals. If you see an area that has grown rapidly, go another half a mile or mile out. If this area is still lying fallow, it might be a good place to invest. This takes a small bit of market timing because you don’t want to be on the very back end of a trend. However, this kind of investing can net significant gains for those of you who buy and hold. There will always be buyers who want to live in the mix, but can only afford to live close to it.
Third, buy the worst of the best. If you can afford the worst house in the best neighborhood, you can usually find great value there. In good markets, great neighborhoods tend to get hot fast. Read more

Real Estate Investing Is A Lot Like Pitching — Timing

I’ll say up front that this subject is one maybe better written by Captain Obvious. Yet, if it’s so obvious why are so many investors consistently caught with their pants down? As a real estate investment advisor I’m asked all the time about when to buy or sell. I do not claim to have either a lucky and talkative bird or a working crystal ball. I can say however, (obvious comment coming) that paying attention to the market pays off.

I thought I was a year late getting into both Phoenix and Boise – 20/20 hindsight. I wasn’t late as in miss the boat late. I just didn’t have that little birdie whispering to me exactly when and where to invest. I had to rely on my own experience, research, and judgment. It’s easy to say, “Yeah, I just decided it was time to move my clients to this or that region.” It’s a lot harder decision to actually execute when your clients are looking to you for guidance. Correct guidance.

How often have we all heard timing is everything? In real estate how much would our overall investment performance have been improved had we known in advance exactly when a down or normal market was about to skyrocket? What if you were in East Toilet Seat Rhode Island in 1999 wondering just what you should do with that $50K burning a hole in your pocket? Suddenly a little birdie landed on your shoulder and whispered, “Hey big guy, buy all you can with as low a down payment as possible — in San Diego. The only thing you knew about SD was its predictably great weather.

Your timing would have made you look like a genius. Of course if you were that bright you would’ve traded up a couple times before doing a third trade into Phoenix around the middle of 2003. By that time your $50K would have grown to more than $400K. (drawn from client file) We all know what happened in Phoenix from that point on. You knew it before hand because of your talkative birdie. He whispered again, telling Read more

To Partner or Not to Partner, That is the Question

Partnerships can be disastrous, but they can also open the doors to investing for many individuals, who could not otherwise invest. Personally, I think many investors are too eager or not eager enough to partner with like minded individuals. On one hand, everyone has a friend who always has that “great idea” (you know the liquor store across from the church or the ice cream store in Antarctica). These people should clearly be avoided. But what about people who actually have good ideas or have found good investment properties?

A good partnership begins with common goals. Each partner should have a clear expectation of the investment type, expected return, and reinvestment rate. If the goal is to get a better understanding of the real estate investment process, the partnership should focus on smaller, easier to manage properties. If maximizing return is the goal, everyone should be clear about their risk tolerance. Partnering on a land development deal might not be appropriate for someone with a lower risk preference. More importantly, everyone should understand the risk of every investment. This is easier said than done. Many real estate deals seem simple, but can get very complicated very fast. Keeping everyone well informed of the details is a must.

After common goals have been established, a clear investment strategy should be laid out in writing. It is important this is in writing because it should be referred back to as each investment is considered by the group. It is very dangerous for the group to stray away from their investment philosophy. When things go well this is typically not an issue, but when things go poorly this can be an issue of contention (outside and inside the courtroom). Additionally, by putting the investment strategy in writing, the group is forced to flesh it out. This process will often eliminate extraneous ideas or bring out ideas that people may not have been comfortable with. Either way, it puts everyone on the same page.

Next, bring in the legal and the accounting team. For smaller, less complicated partnerships this step is as simple as paying a Read more

Beginners Landlord Tips

If you have been reading my posts, it may seem like I am all over the board. One day I am talking about mortgages, the next I am talking about agents, and today I am talking about landlords. The coherent theme behind all of these things is smart real estate investing. Commercial investors must have a strong skill set across areas because they represent the cog that brings different real estate functions together. Today, I want to talk about one of the most value jobs a residential (commercial and non-commercial) investor will have to do. This job is that of being a landlord.

People have typically had one of two experiences with landlords. First, they may have rented an apartment growing up, in college, after college, etc. Second, they may have seen one of the many comical landlords on television (Mr. Roper from Three’s Company for example). Regardless of where your experience comes from, being a landlord is never as easy (or as comical) as it appears. This is especially important for the first-time investor, who has no idea what to expect from tenants.

First and most importantly, new landlords must understand that people will not treat their property like it is their own. This is true with just about anything that is rented. Everyone remembers how much more recklessly they drove their rental cars or how poorly they treat their hotel rooms. It’s just a simple fact of life; ownership creates a sense of pride, while rentership (not really a word, but you get the point) creates a sense of carelessness.

Once that very important lesson has been absorbed, investors should go into the process well informed. This means finding every book, article, blog, and person you can to help you gain a better understanding of what it really means to be a landlord. Don’t just listen to the people that say it’s easy. Look for the horror stories. Watch one of the many day time Judge Shows. Ask yourself if you could handle the worst of the worst. Once you feel fully informed, you are ready to begin the process of becoming Read more

BloodhoundBlog week in review: Nothing exceeds like INTx . . .

Surely BloodhoundBlog is not the nerdliest joint on the RE.net, but we’ve still got a lot of arrows in our quiver — er, pocket protector.

For a start, I pinned the tail on Redfin, arguing that nerdy INTx geeks are in fact their target market. (Sing along: “I’m fluent in JavaScript as well as Klingon.”) Kris Berg snagged an interview with Redfin CEO Glenn Kelman, himself a palpably INTx specimen. We have to sit on her podcast until Thursday, but Kelman’s confirmation that the brokerage target markets techno-geeks is not an embargoed tidbit.

Kris had a great Redfin post of her own as did husband Steve Berg at The San Diego Home Blog.

And: I did geek-seeking missile duty by awarding the first Cheez Whiz Prize to a dead-pool destined circle jerk called my-currency.com. What did the starving mathematicians say when they stumbled onto a can of beans? “First we will postulate a can-opener…”

But just to establish my own hopeless geek bona fides, this week I became the first hopeless geek to write a song about real estate weblogging. “Cathy’s Clown” indeed!

But, Dave, I’m just a wave. I ain’t the water. So here’s what else has been going on in the BloodhoundBlog pond:

Investor Michael Cook took us along on his trip to Greensboro, NC, advising us that Time Really is Money and asking What makes a good investment? He follows up by naming some Watchouts for New Market Investing and then invites us to consider Bank Relationships vs. Mortgage Brokers.

In Googling for Pizza Kris Berg takes us on a very straightforward roundabout route through the SEO benefits of real estate weblogging.

Also on the theme of weblogging, Jeff Brown argues against the practice of allowing anonymous comments in It’s Time To Take The Lead — Let’s Turn The Lights On Now. Anonymous commenters are still permitted at BloodhoundBlog, but we’ve had to put everyone on a very short leash to avoid flaming, obscenity, etc. It’s common for people to argue that policing comments is “censorship.” This is incorrect. Censorship is something that is done by governments. The issue here is the right of private property Read more

A Different Perspective on the Value of Realtors

Has anyone ever wondered why the price of real estate agents has been 5-7% for what seems like an eternity? I know I run a serious risk of stepping on a lot of people’s toes out there since this is a site run by realtors, but I really have been thinking about this a lot lately (particularly this morning after I read Greg’s articles). Additionally, several other articles got my attention (CNN Money, Business News, and The Wall Street Journal). If you stop to really think about this, you will realize that real estate agents have created one of the longest standing monopolies out there. Let me dust off my economics text book and delve a bit deeper into this subject. [Please note this is intended to spark discussion and not personally attack anyone’s profession. As I said before, I love a GOOD real estate agent].

What is a monopoly? Let’s simply define a monopoly as providing a good or service with very little competition. While this may be debated, humor me when I say that real estate agents have been providing their service with very little competition. This is evident in the fact that the price has stayed fixed for so long. One could argue that by using a percentage method, agents are simply hedging themselves against inflation. While that would partially explain this pricing phenomenon, the fact that the percentage has stayed the same despite significant changes in information control speaks of something else. In other arenas, when a significant technological advancement hits the market, prices typically drop accordingly or the level of service increase dramatically. Look at cars for example. As technology has improved cars have become much cheaper (in real dollars) than 70 or even 30 years ago. Additionally, an owner now gets many more standard services.

So do Realtors do more now than say 30 years ago? Of course they do. With the advent of new technologies, they provide marketing over the Internet, in newspapers, and perhaps even their own website. The more important question, however, is does the consumer get a higher value for the services they Read more

Bank Relationships vs. Mortgage Brokers

Every property I have ever purchased has been with the help of a mortgage broker. After my recent trip, I have started to wonder why this is the case. The obvious answer is simply their access to cheaper capital. Brokers can secure rates 50 to 100 basis points (.5%-1%) lower than most local and national banks. Additionally, the terms tend to be more investor friendly, with longer amortization and no recourse. With all of these benefits, why would anyone consider going anywhere else?

The answers lie in two things: Technology and Relationships. The easiest explanation is simple disintermediation through technology. The Internet has opened the mortgage world to investors by allowing them to search many national and local bank rates, as well as, look across the country for the most aggressive mortgage lenders. The time will come (probably very soon, if not already) when some forward thinking investor will provide a site that connects investors and lenders in the same way mortgage brokers do now (think Lending Tree for Commercial Loans).

Additionally, looking at Brian Brady’s recent post, Interview: The XBroker, the industry seems poised for positive transparent change. This change will further allow disintermediation and provide investors unparalleled access lenders. Furthermore, increases in information will drive down pricing. I have consistently been quoted prices in the 1% (of loan value) range for broker services, which can be fairly steep as a percentage of closing cost when purchasing properties in the $500,000 to $1,000,000 range. I would love to see this come down to 50 to 75 basis points (sorry to the brokers out there, but business is business).

The less obvious answer is relationship building. I probably mention that real estate is a relationship business in 90% of my post because I really believe this. This concept is no different when working with banks. The value of the relationship, however, is not apparent right away. Most banks have specific lending criteria and will only be able to offer certain terms based on their risk assessment model. This fact alone keeps mortgage brokers employed. What investors fail to realize, Read more

Tick Tock — The Retirement Clock Is Counting Down

One way or the other, the day you retire will be an emotional one. Why don’t you kick back tonight after dinner, and quietly imagine your last day at work. How does it feel? Are you giddy with anticipation? Or are you tense and uneasy, filled with anxiety about your status quo?

Do you see yourself on the beach somewhere in the South Pacific? Or do you see yourself moving in with your son and his wife — the one you’ve never, well…….you know.

Big Ben

Are the sounds of your imagined retirement full of dance toons, island surf, and the laughter of good times? Or do you hear the endless droning of your only entertainment — TV?

Outside of maintaining your health, the most important decision in your life from this day forward is what kind of retirement you’re going to proactively provide for yourself.

For so many people today, retirement has turned out to be nothing like they imagined. It’s turned out to be more like a sentence. Once you retire, sans a winning lottery ticket, your future is cast in concrete.

Now imagine it’s tomorrow and you’re reordering your priorities. Keep in mind just how much quiet suffering is being endured by folks now retired, who never planned for it. “Hurry up honey, Jeopardy’s starting!”

20 to life is a long time. You had a lot longer than 20 years to plan for it. Now you have less time. Now that ticking clock is beginning to sound like Big Ben. Tick tock, another year. How much time do you have?

How do you feel about making that time count?

The Savvy Investor: Watchouts for New Market Investing

You may have noticed my absence Thursday and Friday, while I was in sunny Greensboro, North Carolina (sunny as oppose to Ithaca, NY). While the trip was a short four days, I met tons of contacts and had a very interesting introduction to the market. There are so many things to talk about, I am going to break them up by topic and try to write them up over the next couple of days. Today, I want to talk about the savvy investor.

I began the journey meeting my agent at the airport. I worked very hard in selecting an agent that I thought would offer me a good look at the market, with an objective opinion on pricing. My goal is to always try to choose an agent, who has experience in the market and is hopefully equally savvy (or more so).

The first problem I encountered right away was a language barrier. I thought cap rates were the universal language, so I assumed that all commercial pricing would be based on local cap rates. Wrong! My agent informed me that the pricing assumptions in Greensboro were based on an assumed appreciation rate of 1-2.5% a year. Interesting… As I stretched my mind to try to understand this concept, I made an assumption that rents would be increasing by at least that or that despite what I saw with my eyes there was a rush on small apartments in Greensboro. Of course, neither was the case.

Interestingly enough, when I made some calculations based on my own models most of the properties I looked at were in the 6.5-7.5% cap range. Although the rates seemed very aggressive for the Greensboro area, every property I looked at fell into this range. My next stop was a commercial mortgage lender. As I sat down in his office, I wondered if everything I had learned in life and in school did not apply in the town of Greensboro or if other investors were just plain crazy. I say this specifically because of all the properties I looked at only one of them was actually Read more

Derek Burress hits a grand slam with the Carnival of Real Estate Investing

Would you like to see a grand slam blog carnival presentation? Take yourself to Real Estate Perspectives for The Carnival of Real Estate Investing. Our own Michael Cook came in first place with The Right Time to Buy: An Investor Perspective, but I would rave about this carnival even if we hadn’t won. Host Derek Burress took the job seriously. He put in a lot of thought and effort to produce a carnival that is fun, funny and informative. Bravo!

My wife and business partner Cathleen Collins judges the Carnival of BloodhoundBlog, our own weekly in-house celebration of quality weblogging. Her pick this week is the Russell Shaw podcasts (Parts I, II and III). Cathleen and I both worked on those (for instance, she dug out all the links), but the real credit goes to Russell, who simply exudes wealth-building power.

As a reminder, BloodhoundBlog will be hosting next week’s Carnival of Real Estate and the February 19th Carnival or Real Estate Investing.

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Touchdown in Greensboro: What makes a good investment?

The rubber has finally hit the road. After a lot of researching, speaking with agents, and working with mortgage brokers, I finally touched down in Greensboro. Armed with financial models, a few perspective properties, and a lot of appointments, I set off to find a good investment. Today, I want to talk briefly about what kind of property makes a good investment.

Keep in mind that a good investment for me may not be a good investment for you. Before you begin to look for your good investment, have a good understanding of your goals, timeframe, risk tolerance, and expertise. These three aspects make up the first step to finding a good investment. Investing should always be goal oriented. Goals help you focus your investing. If your goal is to become a millionaire in a year (not recommended) then your investment strategy needs to be very aggressively focused on leverage and Net Present Value (NPV). On the other hand, if you want to save for your child’s college fund or your retirement (Thanks Jeff), you may want properties that generate consistent cash flow in markets with a lot of potential buyers (easy exit and entry).

Additionally, timeframe and risk tolerance come into play as well. One person might be a skydiving, fast car driving risk loving young man, while another might be a little old lady looking to supplement her pension. A good investment will clearly be different to both of these individuals. While this is nothing new, it is surprising how many people do not truly understand the risk behind investments. Many people look at real estate investments as very low risk. Perhaps if you are buying core buildings in a major market, you might be able to be fairly certain of your cash flow. However, to capture those certain cash flows investors pay a significant premium up front in the form of a very low cap rate.

Besides meeting the above requirements, good investments are not obvious. Good investment properties require looking at a property and seeing something different than 90% of the investors who would normally look at that Read more