There’s always something to howl about.

Category: Disintermediation (page 17 of 43)

The upside of exclusives

What if sellers could list with anyone and everyone and what if only the party that brought the buyer got paid? Online listing search paralysis: no agent will disclose the address to a buyer unless they can show it.   

Sounds like the ideal place to go direct-to-sellers to list their house on the web; they’re already distributing their listing all over the place. 

It also sounds like agents really provide no service to help consumers get more for their listing there; no staging, pricing advice, etc. They’re just trying to find buyers and get it sold. Note to Spanish agents: the internet eats information withholding middlemen for lunch. Provide valuable services or die.

Big News: Ignore all that fine print, tear through all that red tape — Redfin.com supports Safari at last!

Oh, wait, that’s not the big news from Redfin.com. In fact, I reported the really big news last night:

Redfin will either make money or it won’t, and, in the long run, if it endures into a long run, it will become more like traditional real estate even as traditional real estate becomes more like Redfin.

So here’s what’s changed, as of 12:01 am EST: Redfin agents are going to squire buyers around for free four times as much as they have in the past. No news on who’s buying lunch.

Online real estate broker Redfin Corporation today rolled out a 75-day trial of a new home-tours policy that allows visitors to its site to arrange four Redfin-hosted home tours without paying any money up-front or making any commitment to Redfin. The first two tours would be free, and the third and fourth tours would cost $250 at closing, with any subsequent tours costing $250 in advance.

Sounds complicated, doesn’t it? My experience is that home-buyers are not the most assiduous readers of fine print.

There’s more:

The new tours last two hours, and require the buyer to provide a mortgage pre-approval letter documenting her ability to buy the homes she is scheduled to visit. Redfin deducts the $250 charges for the third and fourth tours from the commission refund, which has averaged roughly $10,000 at closing. Customers who do not complete a purchase with Redfin do not pay for their third and fourth tours. Previously, Redfin only provided one free three-hour home tour, charging $250 in advance for each additional tour.

I’m thinking there can be too much red tape even for the INTx gnomes who find Redfin appealing. What is clear is that pay-as-you-go has a less-than-ideal gnome appeal.

I can do four houses an hour with normal buyers. I normally do 12 houses in three hours, then make the buyers stop. After 12 houses, their eyes glaze over. If we limited ourselves to two hours, that would be eight houses. Four two-hour tours would be 32 houses. This is nothing at all like the original Redfin game plan — shoving the expense of showing homes onto Read more

Want to learn how to sniff out bias in the mainstream media? Follow your nose — all the way to Yosemite

John Cook fingered this mash note to Redfin.com in Forbes Magazine. More of the same four-legs-good, two-legs-bad crap we expect from the mainstream media, but it’s short enough that the bias is almost too obvious.

Consider the attributions for quotes:

  • “says Kelman, 37”
  • “Kelman says.”
  • “one Redfin representative wrote recently”
  • “read another posting”
  • “says Steven Del Bianco”

These are all people of whom the writer approves.

But you can’t write a morality play without a villain, so take note of this item, quoted in full:

“In our area the consumer is savvy enough to know that they want value and a high-quality agent,” sniffs Gary Bulanti, a Realtor with Alain Pinel Realtors in Menlo Park, Calif.

Did you sniff out that “sniffs”? Kelman says, then says again. Redfin’s minions write and post. Even investors in past failed discount brokerages get to have their “say,” as it were. But if you are anti-Redfin in even the smallest way, you sniff — you bloated, soul-sucking, counter-revolutionary pig!

It’s all one, really. Redfin will either make money or it won’t, and, in the long run, if it endures into a long run, it will become more like traditional real estate even as traditional real estate becomes more like Redfin.

But just stop for a moment to take account of this:

In a national forest near Yosemite National Park someone affixed fake Redfin bumper stickers to signs, trees and rocks to make the company look like a shameless promoter and defiler of the environment. After Redfin staffers removed the stickers, which they have never used to pitch the Seattle company, the trickster started tossing the signs, attached to weights, into branches of sequoias.

First we have some some kind of demented, Edward Abbee-like monkey-wrenching counter-revolutionary pig of a Realtor, who traipses off from densely-populated Seattle to a national frolicking forest to smear Redfin. And then we have a yellow school-bus full of happy, happy Redfinions — red caps, blue kerchiefs, khaki tunics and cargo shorts — racing off to that same forest to repair this horrendous damage to the natural world, praying all the while to Gaia to heal the deeper wound. On the way home they sing Read more

Is Roost.com roosting on the brass ring? Start-up Realty.bot comes to market with two firsts: MLS listings and a business plan

What if somebody built a Realty.bot that seemed to make sense from Day 1? What kind of goof-ball strategy is that in the wacky world of Web 2.0?

I don’t know if Roost.com really has a business to bank on. The search.bot horizons are starting to look a little crowded. But unlike past entrants, the company is entering the field with two unprecedented features: They’re working from real MLS listings, via member-brokers’ IDX feeds, and they actually have a strategy for monetizing their efforts.

Yawn! YAMBS again? That’s Yet-Another-Map-Based-Search, a transition in the course of two years from the cool to the commonplace. I haven’t been able to play with Roost.com yet, but my guess would be that they’re behind the curve on cool-factors. The search tools seem to be more than adequate, but Roost is all about search, with none of the social-theater-of-the-mind games the older Realty.bots have been rolling out.

This is nothing but residential real estate search, with 13 major markets being served at today’s roll-out. Since the listings come from IDX feeds, Roost.com needs at least one broker relationship for every MLS system it wants to service.

There’s more. Roost.com plans to make money by delivering prospects back to member brokers on a Cost-Per-Click basis. In one scenario, as in the screen-shot above, the broker can have his own private-label Roost.com IDX system hosted on a third-level-domain — e.g., tarbell.roost.com. Every click originating on that site would go back to Tarbell.

Alternatively, brokers can participate directly on the Roost.com system, with the end-user click-throughs being distributed in a manner similar to Google’s Adwords program: Participating brokers would be selected at random based on their desired spending goals.

I’m eager to play with the system, because what I’ve seen of it so far seems cool. As an example, the image below shows a windolet of photos. You can have more than one of these open at one time, so you can compare photos from multiple properties.

Roost.com is essentially a free IDX system for brokers that they would only have to pay for when they are receiving benefits from it — this in the form Read more

UNZIPPED?

Because this thread on Bloodhoundblog has served as a sort of clearinghouse for ex and present ZIP Realty agents, I am passing this along. Additional data can also be found here.

Unzipped

Subject: IMPORTANT LEGAL NOTICE RE: CLASS ACTION SETTLEMENT – Please read as this affects your rights.

This email provides you with a complete copy of the Notice of Proposed Class Action Settlement that was mailed to you with a personalized claim form (“Notice Packet”) on January 15, 2008 to your address that is on record with ZipRealty. If you do not receive the mailed Notice Packet within five days of receipt of this email and would like to request another personalized copy be mailed to you, please call 1-800-918-4296 or visit www.lubockiclassaction.com.

NOTICE OF PROPOSED CLASS ACTION SETTLEMENT

TO: ALL INDIVIDUALS (A) WHO ARE CURRENT OR FORMER REAL ESTATE SALES AGENTS WORKING FOR ZIPREALTY OUTSIDE OF THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA AND FROM WHOM ZIPREALTY DEDUCTED A CUSTOMER ACQUISITION OFFSET (“CAO”) FROM MAY 4, 2003 THROUGH SEPTEMBER 30, 2005; AND (B) WHO ARE FORMER ZIPREALTY REAL ESTATE SALES AGENTS WHOSE EMPLOYMENT TERMINATED IN THE PERIOD BETWEEN MAY 4, 2003 AND AUGUST 31, 2007 AND WHO HAD A PENDING TRANSACTION AT THE TIME THEIR EMPLOYMENT TERMINATED THAT SUBSEQUENTLY CLOSED, BUT WHO WERE NOT PAID THE SAME COMMISSION ON THAT PENDING TRANSACTION AS THEY WOULD HAVE RECEIVED HAD THEY REMAINED EMPLOYED AT THE TIME THE PENDING TRANSACTION CLOSED.

PLEASE READ THIS NOTICE CAREFULLY, AS IT MAY AFFECT YOUR RIGHTS.

YOU ARE NOT BEING SUED.

This Notice is to inform you of a proposed settlement of a class action lawsuit brought by four former real estate sales agents against ZipRealty, Inc (“ZipRealty”). This Notice is being sent to you because ZipRealty’s records indicate that you are a member of the class (“Class Member”) affected by this lawsuit.

THIS NOTICE SUMMARIZES THE PROPOSED SETTLEMENT AND ADVISES YOU OF:

1. A DESCRIPTION OF THE LAWSUIT;

2. THE BENEFITS YOU ARE ENTITLED TO UNDER THE SETTLEMENT AND YOUR RIGHT TO FILE A CLAIM FORM IN ORDER TO PARTICIPATE IN THE SETTLEMENT;

3. YOUR RIGHT TO OPT OUT OF THE SETTLEMENT; AND

4. YOUR RIGHT TO FILE AN OBJECTION TO Read more

Net-borne buyers create new burdens for listing agents

This is my column for this week from the Arizona Republic (permanent link):

 
Net-borne buyers create new burdens for listing agents

“Eighty percent of buyers start their home search on the internet.”

You don’t have to dig too deeply in the real estate world to unearth that statistic. There are two problems that I can see with the claim.

First, it’s based on an outrageously unreliable mail survey of recent home-buyers. Fewer than five percent of recipients returned the survey. How did the other 95% manage their home search? We don’t know.

Moreover, while the long-term trend, surely, is that more people are using the internet to shop for homes, what matters is not how they started their search, but, rather, how did they finish?

There’s more to think about, though, because it seems reasonable to me that people who are starting their home search without professional representation — without a Realtor — are continuing their search unrepresented as well.

What’s the implication? Like it or not, the listing Realtor’s responsibilities are increasing.

Realtors like to say — to each other — “If you list, you last.” What that means is that a listing, at least in a normal market, is a pretty secure paycheck, where working with buyers can be a lot riskier. This is the reason that the buyer’s Realtor often gets 60% or even 75% of the gross commission. The listing Realtor presumes that the buyer’s Realtor is going to be doing most of the heavy lifting.

But this is not as much the case in the age of the internet. If an unrepresented buyer clicks through to the listing Realtor from an on-line Realty.bot — or if that buyer simply makes a sign call — the listing Realtor is obliged to show the home, even if the original intent was to have buyer’s Realtors doing all the work. Moreover, the open house, long derided by Realtors, is suddenly much more important.

All of this creates new opportunities for dual agency, whereby the listing Realtor gets paid more — and incurs huge risks — while giving the buyer almost nothing in the way of representation. It’s hard to Read more

Active Rain can’t catch a break…

T.S. Eliot:

Should I, after tea and cakes and ices,
Have the strength to force the moment to its crisis?
But though I have wept and fasted, wept and prayed,
Though I have seen my head [grown slightly bald]
    brought in upon a platter,
I am no prophet—and here’s no great matter;
I have seen the moment of my greatness flicker,
And I have seen the eternal Footman hold my coat, and snicker.

Trulia.com is going into the Realtors-talking-to-each-other business

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The Future of the Fishwrap Classifieds

Fishwrap: Thank you for calling the classified sales department of the Middletown Journal, Southern Middle County’s premier newspaper. How may I help you today?

REALTOR: Good morning, this is Bill Smith from Middletown Fine Properties, over on Pennsylvania Avenue. I just took a new listing and am holding an open house this Saturday.

Fishwrap: Congratulations, Bill! I’m sure you’ll sell that home in no time with our new Strategic Selling Program, here at the Journal.

REALTOR: Hmmmm…what’s up with that? Did you drop your classified advertising rates now that more people are going online to start their home search?

Fishwrap: Well, Bill, we actually raised our rates because of the added value we’re bringing you.

REALTOR: Added value? Uh, oh. Can’t I just advertise my open house?

Fishwrap: Bill, you know that 83% of the public is now going online to start their home search, right?

REALTOR: Uh, yeah. That’s why I subscribe to Realtor.com

Fishwrap: We go even better than that. Bill. What used to cost $85 for a classified ad in the Journal, now costs $125…BUT, we distribute your advertisement and listing information to Zillow.com and Trulia.com. We’ll also write a blog post for you on Activerain.com, Realtown.com, AND place your listing on Craigslist.org for you. We’re a one-stop advertsiing shop for Realtors now! Think of us as your local advertising agency to assist you with online media buys. If you allow us to throw in financing information, from Bank of America, and have them feature it on their real estate center website, the cost drops to the original $85!

REALTOR: …but…but…I use Brian Brady for all my client financing.

Fishwrap: Hold on, Bill. If First American Title places a banner across on your online ads, the cost drops to $55 for what used to cost you $85 ! How’s that sound?

REALTOR: Well, what has Brian really done for me lately? Furthermore, First American is a great brand name, what have I got to lose? Let’s go for it!

Fishwrap: Read more

Buying Countrywide: Why Bank of America is the WRONG Buyer

Countrywide (CFC) has been acquired by Bank of America. This should come as no surprise to Bloodhound readers; we discovered the weakness at CFC last Spring and speculated about the price last Summer. Robert Kerr, Matt Heaton, and Bob Wilson, all Bloodhound readers, tipped me off to conjecture, asked all the right questions, and provided insightful commentary as I chronicled the descent; it was a demonstration of the power of weblogging. The Bloodhound community got this story correct while Wall Street was still starry-eyed about the strength of the “Mozilo franchise”.

Stock picking is not our mission at Bloodhound; industry analysis is. The Countrywide acquisition will be a nightmare for Bank of America (BA) for one simple reason- they really don’t know the mortgage business. BA is a bank, and a damned fine one at that. Their grew their asset base by acquiring regional banks. Bank of America is not and will probably never be a real player in the residential real estate finance arena.

Why? They’re bankers. It’s a cultural thing. Bankers react while brokers (Wall Street) create. Bankers imitate while brokers innovate. Let me give you some examples:

  1. BA lauds it’s Teacher Flex and Neighborhood Advantage programs as innovative thinking. The not so secret reason is that these loan programs were REACTIONS to the NCNB merger; NCNB had a less than enviable lending record in lower-income census tracts. The creation of those loan programs was a direct response to mandates imposed upon BA. BA was dragged, kicking and screaming, into the “homeownership mandate”.
  2. BA botched their sub-prime mortgage product line. They entered a business they didn’t understand and sold it at the worst possible time.
  3. Bank of America alienated over half of the retail origination channel when it cut off mortgage brokers. I think they bought CFC to shore up their weak retail origination business. That will fail, also. The cultural divide between these two companies is huge.

Here’s the dirty little secret for REALTORS; BA is not your friend. Read more

Unchained melodies: Is that all there is?

Lieber and Stoller wrote it, Randy Newman arranged it, Peggy Lee sang it with an affectless perfection. This cover by Bette Midler has its charms, but by trying to backspin the lyrics, she inadvertently shows how much better was Peggy Lee’s understanding of the material.

Tune in Saturday. I’ll show you something cool.

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Zillow.com cultivates its garden with ten million new database records, improved home valuation algorithms and the adoption, with Trulia.com and other Realty.bots, of a RETS-compatible listings standard

First the news on horseback. We’ll come back and gloss it again, but you’re likely to learn more by listening to the podcast linked below with Zillow.com’s David Gibbons.

The news, from Zillow’s press release:

Real estate Web site Zillow.com today announced a major expansion and upgrade to its database of nearly all homes in the country — increasing data coverage from 70 million to 80 million U.S. homes in 48 states, or 88 percent of all homes in the country. Zestimate values are now available on three out of four U.S. homes, or 67 million, up 68 percent from when Zillow launched in 2006. New areas with Zestimates include the states of Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, Iowa, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, West Virginia and New Hampshire.  

Zillow today also announced it has dramatically expanded and improved its Zestimate algorithm, incorporating 20 times the number of statistical models than before that factor in more local and home-type variables and now integrate homeowner-edited home facts — such as the number of bedrooms, bathrooms or square footage. More than one million homes have been claimed and updated by their owners to date, contributing to improved Zestimate accuracy on many of these homes. Incorporating these changes along with continued algorithm upgrades have resulted in a 12 percent improvement in Zestimate accuracy nationwide. Many larger metropolitan markets, such as the greater San Francisco, Miami, Los Angeles and Atlanta areas, have some of the most significant accuracy gains at 18 percent, 21 percent, 22 percent and 28 percent respectively.

There’s more. This was leaked earlier this evening by TechCrunch.com:

The other big news is that Zillow is joining Yahoo Real Estate, Trulia, Oodle, Homes.com, Realestate.com, Vast.com and others in adopting a standard way for brokers and multiple listings services (MLSs) to send in their real estate listings in a feed format. That way brokers can use the same data format for all the different real estate search engines and Websites. It is called the Real Estate Transaction Standard (RETS). That should make it easier for brokers to propagate their listings everywhere. [*See clarification from Zillow’s David Gibbons in the comments Read more

The Trulia Publisher Platform and the hypothetical elastic mind

Trulia.com is releasing a new product offering this morning — or at least a new product skin. It is called Trulia Publisher Platform, and what it amounts to is customized branded hosting of Trulia’s real estate content on third-party publishers’ sites.

For example, you can get your Trulia fix under the Village Voice brand, presumably at the web sites of the dozens of formerly-counter-culture newspapers owned by the Phoenix-based corporate behemoth. Even though the real estate content will be Trulia’s, and even though the Truliesque pages will be hosted by Trulia, the on-page branding will give the impression that you are still reading The Village Voice or The Phoenix New Times or whatever.

Okayfine. I myself am so much in love with with power of the long tail in horizontal search that I am, with each passing day, less and less sanguine about vertical search tools. Geeks Google. Proto-geeks search on Craigslist. When the whole world looks like a nail, I’m less than ecstatic about trying to figure out which of the 27 specialized search blades on a Swiss Army Vertical Search Knife works most like a hammer. It turns out none of them do, where the Hammer of Google always delivers.

But: Even so: The expectation seems to be that the webaholic who searches for homes he can’t afford in towns he doesn’t live in on PhoenixNewTimes.com is somehow not the same bleary-eyed gnome who would have quested after houses he won’t buy in places he’s never been on Trulia.com instead. Do you see? Why would anyone presume that spreading the Trulia love around comes to anything other than spreading it thinner?

No one actually does make that presumption, of course. Instead, the math of free content is a math of infinities. No one in America knows any other American who is not already maxed out in every possible respect, but the hypothetical user of our proposed free-content web site is miraculously endowed with infinitely elastic spare time. Lucky bastard. Imaginary people have it so easy!

In the long run, we will surely add new gnomes and gnomettes to the Web 2.0 world. But why Read more

Unchained melodies: Matrimonium unchained…

I met her ten years ago tonight. On my best days, I actually deserve her. These first two are the “our songs,” No Myth by Michael Penn:

And Thunder Road by Bruce Springsteen, covered by Melissa Etheridge and The Boss himself, live and Unplugged:

This third tune, Something In The Way She Moves by James Taylor, is more about how I feel about her, why I’m so lucky to have her even when I don’t deserve her:

Ten years… It seems like yesterday. But every day is better because she’s in it. I’d be lost without her…

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