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Category: Disintermediation (page 13 of 43)

Will Realtors be disintermediated by on-line tools? Probably not, but tech-savvy Realtors will supplant those who do not adapt

This is my column for this week from the Arizona Republic (permanent link):

 
Will Realtors be disintermediated by on-line tools? Probably not, but tech-savvy Realtors will supplant those who do not adapt

The big news in real estate is the market, of course. My view is that the American economy is much stronger and more resilient than you might guess from day-to-day reports.

But the other big story in real estate is the idea of “disintermediation” — replacing Realtors with some combination of do-it-yourself effort and hi-tech tools. The stock retort to this notion — and I have made it myself — is that people will never buy homes like they buy books on Amazon.

Perhaps so. But I lived through the desktop revolution in printing, so I have a different take about the dreaded word disintermediation.

If the triumphant yelp is that some travel agents and some stockbrokers still have jobs, I will point out that some blacksmiths still have jobs, too. Horses still need shoes. That much is beside the point.

Here’s my take on the matter: Don’t think in terms of disintermediation. Use the word “supplantation” instead. In industry after industry, old techniques are being supplanted by new ideas. More importantly, the old technicians are being supplanted by new ones.

This is not a necessary consequence, but it often works out that the “old hands” don’t want to make the change to the new ways of doing business. Even if they do, the “first-mover advantage” can be too great to overcome.

The same goes for everything — most especially real estate. Realtors who are not all the way onboard with the way business will be done in the future will be left behind at the station.

A real estate transaction is so complex that most people will continue to want professional advice — even as they handle many of the simpler functions Realtors might have done in the past. The work we do will be superficially similar to the work others have done in the past — but those others won’t be doing it any longer.

Will they have been disintermediated? Not if you insist that they haven’t. Read more

Marketing performance: BloodhoundBlog is the last place crybabies should go when they need to have their boo-boos kissed, and, therefore, it is the last place to go looking for crybabies

I want to talk about the idea of marketing performance as a disruptive strategy — but not quite yet. I’m using the term as a gerundive: Developing tools and techniques that by far eclipse your competition, then promoting that outsized commitment to excellence in your marketing. Not: “I’m the best.” Not even: “Here’s why I’m the best.” Simply this: “Here is everything you’ll get that you can’t obtain anywhere else.” This is the means by which we can flush most of the bums from the business even as we supplant the sclerotic dinosaurs who claim to be our leaders.

As a matter of general notice, it were well to take account of a couple of salient facts:

  1. This is not an alien message to the BloodhoundBlog audience. The people who come here are already committed to doing the best job they can do as Realtors, lenders, investors. We appeal to the elite of real estate professionals, and, not coincidentally, we tend to repel the crybabies, the mediocrities and the wannabe predators.
  2. In consequence, beating up on the crybabies, the mediocrities and the wannabe predators is probably a pretty poor strategy here. Most readers here would not just agree with but would joyously amend denunciations of specific bad behavior. But generalized complaints about unspecified groups of miscreants may have the opposite effect: The uncontested best of a group of people rising to the defense of the uncontested worst.

That’s as may be. There are no groups of people, there are only individuals. Defending a group is no less irrational than attacking that group, but I have no use and no time for irrationality in any flavor.

I’m interested in individual practitioners becoming so much better at the performance of their jobs, and so much better at marketing that performance, that they put themselves beyond competition. I want to put the bums in another line of work, and I want to put the dinosaurs in a museum, where they belong. To my ears, everything else is pointless noise.

I’ll deal with this all in detail, but not now: It’s Saturday, Realtor day, and I gotta go to work. Here Read more

Is managing your URL structure enough to achieve Truliamazing long tail search results in your target market?

Here’s a true fact of BloodhoundBlog life: Trulia.com can be a redheaded stepchild around here. We’re always happy to pounce on Redfin.com or to pontificate about Zillow.com, but Trulia most often gets short shrift. It mainly comes across like Realtor.com’s younger, smarter, cheaper brother — and no one with a stock-option plan needs to write to me to tell me this is an unfair characterization. Trulia is certainly less adept at — or perhaps less interested in — grabbing headlines. The flip side is that the start-up is recovering its own costs, an unheard-of feat in the Web 2.0 world.

But here is another factor that sets Trulia apart, one that cuts much closer to this Realtor’s bones:

Trulia.com absolutely kills at long tail search optimization.

Mary McKnight advised us yesterday to ignore the long tail, but that advice doesn’t make sense in our business. If I were competing for prospects in Cedar Rapids, then focusing a lot of attention on Cedar Rapids keywords might make sense. But Phoenix is home to five million souls. The Metropolitan Phoenix real estate market comprises an area larger than Belgium. Moreover, our own real estate practice is focused on a tightly-defined niche. We live and die on long tail keywords.

And this is why I am hyper-aware of Trulia’s long tail efforts. I keep a constant eye on street names where we are strong or want to be strong. People cruise the neighborhoods we work at 15 MPH, looking at every house for sale. If they write down an address and Google it later, I want for them to find us. If it’s our listing, so much the better, but I want for them to find the breadcrumbs we leave behind us no matter what.

Watch this: 921 West Culver Street is for sale, but nobody told Google. In consequence, one of our old single-property web sites comes up first for that search (YMMV), giving us first crack at any buyers who Google for more information about that home.

By contrast: 714 West Culver Street is also for sale, but there’s only one dog peeing on that tree right now. Read more

Raising the Bar or Bellying Up to It?

I hear a lot of chatter from successful REALTORS® about “raising the bar” for being a REALTOR®.  In other words, do a better job of distinguishing between REALTORS® and licensees.  This came up during a strategic planning break-out group today and we all thought it sounded like a good plan, but had no idea how to get it done.  So where do you go to figure out how to make the term REALTOR® actually mean something more than a common licensee?  A bar, of course.  Surely a few beers would generate enough creative thinking to solve this conundrum.

“Sam Adams, please.” 

The first order of business is to figure out how we got here – by “here” I am speaking figuratively and not how we arrived at the Dog House Bar and Grille.  Why is there no difference between a REALTOR® and a licensee?  I blame license law.  That’s right, license law.  It seems to me that over the years, state license law has “improved” to a point that there is very little difference in the REALTOR® Code of Ethics and state license law.  The ironic thing is that the REALTOR® organization has worked hard to strengthen license law over the years.  That’s a classic example of a raising tide lifting all boats.

Take disclosure, for instance.  I can only think of one thing that the REALTOR® Code requires to be disclosed that the license law doesn’t – REALTORS® are required to tell their seller clients about verbal offers where license law only requires disclosure of written offers.  Well there’s a strong marketing point!  Other than that, I can think of nothing significant that REALTORS® are required to do that a licensee is not also required to do.

“Another Sam Adams, please.”

So, what is the solution?  Do we think up a whole bunch of things that REALTORS® have to do or disclose that a common licensee does not?  Maybe we could require REALTORS® to disclose that the neighbor will throw potatoes at you if you purchase this home?  Or maybe we require REALTORS® to disclose all the future development plans within a mile of Read more

Fully-Clothed In The Valley Of Transparency

Originator: I’m being paid $7, 000 from the lender because you chose a rate of 6%

Client: Got it. Cool, thanks for saving me money

Originator: If you chose a rate of 5.5%, YOU would have to pay me my $7,000

Happy Client: Understood. I’m down. Let’s roll with the 6% option.

Originator: You realize that if you negotiated better, I might have done it for less? It would have depended upon the demand for my services.

Confused Client: I’m sure I could have gone to Zillow and gotten a better price but I was impressed with your execution– I think it’ll save me a lot of money. Your blogging efforts convinced me that I need to be in relationship with you.

Originator: I just want you to affirm that I’m worth every single penny of my fee. I’m not a discount mortgage broker; I’M A PROFESSIONAL. You’ll also notice that I didn’t opt to put an anonymous rate search widget, like this or this, on my website.

Irritated Client: Understood. I trust you.

Originator: Transparency is great, isn’t it? You made the right choice.

Frustrated Client: You’re so smart. You’re so strong. You’re the best choice for me.

Originator: In the interest of transparency, should I drop my trousers to prove it?

Lost Client: Good bye.

My admiration for what Zillow has given the lending community is clear. I love that they’ve created a virtual Bourse for mortgages because I think like a trader. If my pipeline dries up, I’ll be in there, slogging it away. There’s a difference between playing by their rules, on THEIR platform, and adopting that “shopping technology” on my platform.

I’m virile but I don’t walk on the beach, in a Speedo, to prove it. Maybe that makes me deceitful, maybe it just makes me…

…smart.

Zillow.com’s Mortgage Marketplace brings anonymous apples-to-apples mortgage rate quotes to consumers, free consumer leads to lenders

This is my column for this week from the Arizona Republic (permanent link):

 
Zillow.com’s Mortgage Marketplace brings anonymous apples-to-apples mortgage rate quotes to consumers, free consumer leads to lenders

Wouldn’t it be great if you could get a broad array of mortgage quotes without having to make dozens of phone calls? And what if you could make a true apples-to-apples comparison among quotes? Better still, what if you could remain anonymous, making yourself known to the lender only when you are ready to do business?

Seattle-based real estate start-up Zillow.com last week released its long-anticipated mortgage lending product, called the Mortgage Marketplace, and it offers all those features and more.

Unlike Zillow’s “Zestimates,” the loan quotes are generated by real people, working lenders. Zillow will basically be acting as a hands-off intermediary between borrowers and loan originators.

Consumers using Zillow’s new Mortgage Marketplace will be able to anonymously solicit bids for loans from participating lenders. The consumer will fill out a detailed form disclosing all pertinent financial details.

The form will be submitted anonymously to participating lenders, who will, in their turn, produce estimated loan quotes, submitting them, through Zillow, to the consumer. The consumer will then have the choice to make direct contact with particular lenders to decide whom to do business with.

To a very large degree, the information asymmetry between lender and borrower will be done away with, since the loan quote will detail every fee associated with the loan. Moreover, Zillow will be implementing a reputation-management system whereby borrowers will be able to rate lenders on their performance.

In return, the lenders will receive Zillow’s mortgage leads at no cost.

What’s in it for Zillow.com? When you fill out a form requesting a loan quote, Zillow will be writing “cookies” to your local browser. They won’t be storing your financial details on their own servers, but they will be able to access those cookies in the future to target specific ads at you according to your demographic characteristics. Zillow will also be selling access to these cookies to other ad-supported sites.

So, just as with free-TV, in exchange for looking at advertising, you will get free anonymous Read more

Nordstrom, Dave Liniger, RE/MAX and Web 2.0

I’m just not a rah-rah guy. The most trouble I was ever in at Nordstrom – it almost got me fired – was my refusal, as a men’s shoe buyer in a suburban Portland mall store, to participate in an Anniversary Sale employee pep-rally-fashion-show, in which the men modeled the women’s apparel and the women modeled the men’s. When the store manager asked me why I wouldn’t want to be a team player, I told him shoe dogs – at 8.75% commission – tend to get much more excited by having enough of the right product to sell than my walking around in a dress; that would be my focus. I was saved by the increase.

So when I heard several weeks ago that Dave Liniger – Chairman and cofounder of RE/MAX International –would be in town for a three hour seminar, with the jingoistic “Be Great in 2008” title, my first thought was “Uh oh.” But I’d read the fabulous Everybody Wins, and think Dave Liniger’s brilliant; one has to be to go from nothing to building one of the most recognized brands in the world. So I and about a thousand others went.

He had me with the opening: “Don’t believe any crap NAR tells you.” That was followed by three hours of substantive (and riveting) advice on how to deal successfully in a real-world down market. I found myself every so often closing my eyes and thinking: he sounds exactly like Russell Shaw.

The number of mentions of Web 2.0 in that three hours: 0.

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When I left Nordstrom in 1979, starting a 24 year career as a manufacturer’s rep, I drove four NW states, and called on two or three independent shoe stores in every small town. Nordstrom had a shoe buyer in every store; what sold in one didn’t necessarily sell in another only a few miles away. The focus was entirely on the right product, the one customers actually wanted to buy, and I made a good living planting seeds in a few stores, then expanding based on success. We had a four day trade show every six months Read more

Barry Cunningham is Full of Crap

I mean that in a really nice way. I am just trying to help. Just like Barry is just trying to help Realtors by pointing out various things that are wrong with Realtors,Barry Cunningham-Turd I am trying to help Barry. I mean no insult.  None. And should Barry get even a little bit defensive that would be wrong. He shouldn’t get defensive, I am just talking about Barry MOST of the time since he arrived on BloodhoundBlog. Naturally, I think Barry is wrong about everything he believes and that he charges people way too much money for the mindless, stupid and completely unnecessary things he does for them. He isn’t really a professional, the way he acts. All of his customers could all do a much better job than he does and don’t need him at all and they most certainly don’t need to pay him the outrageous fees he charges. No insult intended. Barry’s business won’t even exist in a few short years, he will fail and go broke. I say this to help Barry. We should be able to discuss this idea like adults. Openly looking at and discussing the idea: is Barry Cunningham completely passive-aggressive towards real estate agents or does Barry Cunningham sincerely believe the half-baked gibberish he writes. Again, no insult intended. None, really. I just feel it is vital to bring this up so we can all join in the discussion.

Consider “24: The Unaired 1994 Pilot” and then tell us in detail how the world is going to work 15 years from now

I get a huge kick out of this because I remember what tech.life was like in 1994. Everyone rebelling against Barry Cunningham’s pronouncements has very detailed ideas about future portents — and each one of those ideas is almost certainly hugely wrong.

See more funny videos at CollegeHumor

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“Our role will remain strong, firm, indispensable. All we must do is adapt.” Wanna bet? The dinosaurs of the pre-web world of business will be supplanted, not disintermediated

Richard Riccelli fingered this article on intimations of irrelevance in the advertising industry. Richard and I lived through the demise of professional typography, so I have a different take than some others here about the dreaded word “disintermediation.”

If the triumphant yelp is that some travel agents and some stockbrokers still have jobs, I will point out that some blacksmiths still have jobs, too. Attention must be paid and horses must be shod. That much is utterly beside the point.

Here’s my take on the matter: Don’t think in terms of disintermediation. Use the word “supplantation” instead. The dilbert in the advertising article is insisting that he is not a dinosaur — because he knows he is. He is being supplanted by much smarter ways of doing his job, and he will never, ever catch up — first because he doesn’t want to change, and second because the first-mover advantage is too great.

In the same way, there is no need to start a revolution to get rid of the pestilential NAR. They have no intention of changing, nor any ability to change — but it doesn’t matter. We don’t need to storm the Bastille, we just need to get on with what we’re doing. The NAR will persist in a state of increasing irrelevance, a rotting husk like the neglected Sunday newspaper out on the front porch, but it won’t matter at all in due course.

The same goes for everything. If we are not all the way onboard with the way business will be done, we will be left behind at the station. The work we do will be superficially similar to the work others have done in the past — but those others won’t be doing it any longer.

Will they have been disintermediated? Not if you insist that they haven’t. But they will have been well and truly supplanted.

When will that happen? Ask a blacksmith — if you can find one.

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Redfin.com wakes up, smells coffee, staples galoshes to forehead: Now Redfin buyers will be able to see homes in an almost-normal way

The uncontested brilliance of the free market is that it is self-correcting. People like me have been bitching all along that Redfin.com’s approach to buyer representation was misguided if not outright evil. Conceding some huge chunk of the buyer’s agent’s commission to the buyer was certainly consumer-friendly, but pushing the cost of buyer representation off onto the listing agent was vile. “Stick it to the man” rhetoric might play well with Leslie Stahl, but we have no way of knowing how often the listing agent is working for one percentage point of the sales price — or even for nothing.

But: So what. So long as listers were too cowardly to contest Redfin’s claims to having earned the buyer’s agent’s commission even when it had violated the everyday understanding of procuring cause, every erg of outsized bitching was just so much wasted energy. If the Redfin experience was satisfying to its buyers, not much else seemed to matter.

Except…

Of course, the Redfin experience wasn’t satisfying to buyers. As much as they might like the idea of shopping for homes from an on-line catalog, when it came time to actually squeeze the fruit, a surprising number of them wanted to actually squeeze the fruit.

So: Redfin had to provide home tours when its cost structure was built around not providing home tours. Then it had to start charging cash fees for home tours. Then it built an elaborate mechanism whereby buyers could schedule two home tours for free, then pay $250 a pop for additional tours. And today, without fanfare, Redfin.com announces its Redfin Select program, whereby buyers can schedule unlimited home tours in exchange for a reduced commission rebate.

First: All hail The Market, which speaks lucidly even to deaf ears.

But second: Ugh.

Listen to this:

With Select, we take you on tour twice a week, every week, until you find a home.

That “twice a week” sounds a little school-marmish, doesn’t it? “You will walk in single file, boy-girl, boy-girl, in a neat and orderly fashion.” God help the poor relos in town from Thursday to Sunday. Twice a week means twice a week, pal.

Okayfine. Progress is Read more

The Odysseus Medal competition — Voting for the People’s Choice Award is open

We have 14 entries on the short list this week, out of a long long list of 96 posts. I’ve already decided on the winner of the Odysseus Medal, so I’m not linking that way. This week’s Short List is all Zillow Mortgage Marketplace posts, all of them written by lenders. If you’re not interested, you’re just not interested, but I can’t imagine how you wouldn’t be.

Four of the Short List contestants wrote two posts each, so I’m going to count a vote for either as a vot for that person. If one of them wins, I’ll split the People’s Choice Award between both posts.

Vote for the People’s Choice Award here. You can use the voting interface to see each nominated post, so comparison is easy.

Ahem: Please don’t spam all your friends to come and vote for you. First, what we’re interested in is what is popular among people who would have been voting anyway. And second, I’ll eliminate you for cheating. Don’t say you weren’t warned.

Voting runs through to 12 Noon MST Monday. I’ll announce the winners of this week’s awards soon thereafter.

Here is this week’s short-list of Odysseus Medal nominees:

< ?PHP $AltEntries = array ( "Brian Brady -- Zillow Mortgage Bourse Zillow Mortgage Bourse: How To Acquire Long-Term Clients”,
“Brian Brady — Zillow Mortgage Marketplace
Zillow Mortgage Marketplace: One Way Transparency Like A Bad Online Dating Site“,
“Dan Melson — Zillow\’s New Mortgage Quote Forum Zillow’s New Mortgage Quote Forum“,
“Gina Gardner — Zillow Mortgage Reflects National Trends Dog Eat Dog: Zillow Mortgage Reflects National Trends in Selling“,
“Jeff Corbett — Zillows Mortgage Community Zillows Mortgage Community. The Consumer is Ready, But is The Mortgage Professional?“,
“Jeff Corbett — Zillows Mortgage Community, On The Cusp Zillows Mortgage Community, On The Cusp of an Anonymous Transparent Credit and Personal Information eXchange Between Mortgage Professionals and Consumer, to Create a Highly Trusted Mortgage Transaction Community“,
“Morgan Brown — Zillow Mortgage Launches Zillow Mortgage Launches – How do you rate?“,
“Rhonda Porter — Zillow Launches On-Line Mortgage Quotes Zillow Launches On-Line Mortgage Rate Quotes“,
“Rhonda Porter — Zillows On Line Mortgage Leads Zillow’s On Line Mortgage Leads: Is It For You?“,
“Todd Carpenter — I have a war to fight I don’t have Read more

Isn’t This All Getting More Than A Bit Tiresome?

I mean blog wars, talk about disintermediation, transparency..blah..blah..blah…!

I am new to blogging, having only launched Real Estate Radio USA on January 2, 2008. Yet, in this brief period of time I can CLEARLY see the fruits of my labor, the rewards derived from the efforts of my team, the tremendous spike in daily traffic, and last but not least, the building of valuable strategic business relationships. In addition, many personal relationships have blossomed as well.

But all of this going back and forth with real estate agents who are resisting change and ignoring the writing on the wall just seems so boring. Do I really care any longer about trying to share what I have learned and to assist those in business who can not or will not seize the myriad of opportunities that abound in a Web 2.0 world? I used to. I was full of fire and energy to help a lot of Realtors see the Promised Land but now that spirit, in just 3 months, is waning.

I can only imagine how people like Mary McKnight, Greg Swann, Pat Kitano and Stefan Swanepoel must feel. These people have been going at it for much longer than I have. I salute each of these pioneers and others like them and wonder where they find the patience to persevere with such a seemingly obvious lost cause.

In order for myself to continue in such an arduous endeavor, I have to measure my efforts against the potential ROI. Wasting time with obtuse Realtors has become the bane of my existence and it seems useless to continue to engage. It’s like being on the Titanic and arguing with Thomas Andrews that the ship was unsinkable.

Real estate blogging has jumped the proverbial shark and it’s a waste of time to think things can be changed. I read a post or two this weekend on Active Rain, you know, that social network that shows 70,000+ members yet only the same 100-200 or so people ever comment? You know, that social network made up of dinosaurs and has-beens that spend more time saying what doesn’t work to even try to Read more

Please Show Me How You Disintermediate Results and Superior Expertise

Before beginning in earnest, let me take a shot of addressing what surely will be the first comments made concerning disintermediation. Have there been instances of this happening in other industries? Sure — the ‘go to’ is almost always travel agents. I maintain the average person still uses travel agents when arranging anything more involved than visiting Grandma or a business trip. How many of us will arrange a two week tour of Europe on our own? Not me. You?

The point remains — any industry requiring real expertise and which must produce results of real value to their customers/clients, will not — cannot — be replaced by the mere act of clicking. The concept is absurd on its face.

Of course, the jury is out on whether or not I’m in the minority or majority. Opinions are just that. Certainly my opinion isn’t taken from Divine Inspiration. Empirical evidence drives me to my conclusions here. The marketplace has decided, at least so far, the experienced agent producing consistently excellent results by way of superior expertise is the dominate choice of buyers and sellers of real estate.

Click that.

Russ Shaw and I must be the last remains of the species long thought to be extinct — Trirealasaurus Rex. Apparently we just don’t get it, and are on our way out. Everyone’s eatin’ our lunch, or soon will be. Techno-Geeks who could study what Russell does for a year and still not know what he’s forgotten, insist their way, (whatever the hell that is — they argue among themselves) will eliminate him just like the meteor crashing into earth wiped out dinosaurs.

Last time I checked, he’s not feeling very threatened.

Every time I read something telling me how I’m on the verge of extinction, I consciously avoid going into Dad’s default mode, which was to extend his favorite finger in the direction of the offender. 🙂 I’d rather learn what the smartest guys in the room have to teach. They’ve taught me how to apply their Geekinology to my Old School ways. I’ve been walking that talk now for quite awhile, coming up on Read more