I just finished writing a comment regarding the mortgage meltdown which led to the credit crisis which has caused a real estate recession (don’t you just love our fondness for allegorical alliteration!) We were playing the blame game over on a post I wrote regarding The Gang of Three and how Wachovia’s current misfortunes may signal the bottom.
While many lenders and originators and agents and appraisers and so on can shoulder some of the blame, we should look to two primary sources for our stone throwing activities: the first is borrowers. Borrowers, however, get a pass because it is politically, if not financially, incorrect to blame the customer. That leaves us with number two: the rating agencies. Yes, the rating agencies: Moodys, Fitch and Standard & Poor’s. Have you heard much in the press or by the politicians with regard to the rating agencies? Neither have I, yet I argue that they are the proximate cause and primary culprit in this mess. Lenders make money by lending money. Investors make money by investing. Borrowers can borrow because lenders can lend because investors will purchase on the secondary market. The secondary market prices and purchases based on the rating given by the neutral, third party rating agency.
But, it turns out that the rating agencies were being shopped and whoever gave the best rating got the job. So instead of giving investors accurate warnings, which in turn would have made the loans much more expensive, which in turn would have cut way down on the volume of high-risk loans – we instead have rating agencies trying to make money. There’s that pesky “invisible hand” at work again.
Thankfully we can all relax. As you can see by reading this article in Business Weekly, New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo has brought these criminals to justice and hit them with the severest of all punishments: he made them say “sorry.” They have also agreed to set up some new guidelines (may I suggest: “Keep your hand out of the cookie jar” be first and foremost?) Wow, nothing like a good strong talking to when you have caused or at least been heavily involved in a $1 trillion problem. Why do these agencies get such largesse? Que bono? The agencies get paid by the very companies whose offerings they are rating. No reason to rock that boat too hard.
Bawldguy Talking says:
As Sonny & Cher so succinctly put it…
And The Beat Goes On On On On
June 5, 2008 — 2:53 pm
Craig Tone says:
Sean, reading your post just put me in a bad moodys.
June 5, 2008 — 5:41 pm
Sean Purcell says:
Jeff,
And the beat goes on… just follow the bouncing dollar sign
Craig,
in a bad moodys
Too funny 🙂
June 5, 2008 — 8:47 pm
David Shafer says:
Caveat emptor has reigned in the investment world forever.
Doubt it will ever change!
Education is the only way an individual/investor can protect themselves. I bet the investors are going to perform their due diligence now, when considering buying MBS’s.
June 6, 2008 — 9:42 am
Sean Purcell says:
David,
Caveat emptor should have been the the watch word, but when profits are flying why bother, right?
>I bet the investors are going to perform their due diligence now
I bet you’re right 🙂
June 6, 2008 — 11:41 am
Bawldguy Talking says:
One of the most repeated comments we hear from new clients voices their appreciation of our ‘boots on the ground’ approach to not only our due diligence, but our research and basic surveys.
Our decisions are always made from empirical data gathered almost totally first hand, and in person. Some might say belly to belly.
June 6, 2008 — 11:50 am
Donte (The short sale specialist) says:
Never would have thought about rating agencies. The same system that was set to make life easier, just made things so much worst.
Before reading your blog, I had my mind set on the Gang of Three, but without the rating system, a lot of consumers probably wouldn’t have slid between the cracks.
June 9, 2008 — 8:43 am
Rick Belbben says:
Really not much different from the fox guarding the hen house. Imagine what might have been if they had started downgrading those ratngs earlier on – not after the banks were announcing writedowns in the billions.
June 9, 2008 — 11:11 am