I’m thinking of getting into politics. I’ve been watching testimonies, from both sides of the aisle, about the credit crunch and impending doom of mass foreclosures. I figured out the problem:
The housing prices were too damned high.
Now, my stance, to this point, has been pretty clear; let the market act as markets do, with commensurate consequences to each and every market participant. Lenders and borrowers lose. Lenders lose money, and borrowers lose the freedom to buy another home, with the use of a mortgage, for a period of 4-6 years. (remember that statement)
As I’ve said, I’m thinking of getting into politics so that straight talk and libertarian approach is somewhat unacceptable in the vote-seeking game. I think I need to find a solution that will put me in a picture, alongside Hillary, Arlen, Barney, and Hank. My solution may also fire a shot across the bow of our economic enemy, China; that’s just a bonus for the cold warriors among us.
The Happy Homeowners Act of 2008 understands that foreclosures are far reaching in their devastating effect. They leave homes vacant in neighborhoods, they attack the esteem and morale of the borrowing family, and what is often left unsaid, they whack the investors’ principal. Talking heads have said that the homeowners just want to live in peace and harmony, in their slice of the American Pie. So… here’s my proposal:
Mark to the Market or yell “do over”. We’re all in this together, right?
1- Homeowners overpaid for their homes. Those homes are worth some 20% less than what they paid for them. The investors will take a loss of 20% (or more) should they proceed with foreclosure…so…just take the loss today. Reset the loans to a loan amount the borrower really can afford.
2- Investors will lose money but can recoup some of those costs from the market participants that profited. Real estate brokerages, mortgage brokerages, originating lenders, servicers, Wall Street securitizers, appraisers, home inspectors, stagers, and everyone who made a dime off the transactions during the “excessive period” can contribute, oh…let’s say…half of their fees earned in the exploiting transactions. This “loss reserve” fund will help defray some of the investors’ losses and real estate workers will think twice about “blessing” future transactions.
3- Homeowners affected just want to stay in their home, right?. Employ the old USDA Home loan program principle, that gives a financial incentive, for the homeowner to do just that- homeowners won’t be allowed to sell or refinance their new “fair loan” for a period of 5 years. If they do, the forgiven debt will be applied to the payoff demand (yep, that’s a 20% pre-payment penalty). No subordinate financing will be allowed so the homeowner can’t use his home like an ATM for five years.
4- If the mortgage was owned by a less than friendly trading partner, like China, just whack ’em with the loss. Shame on them for playing with fire. If you invest in an economy with whom you won’t play fair, you get whacked.
5- If the foreclosing mortgage is owned by an investor, make the investor move into the property that is being foreclosed for a period of five years. He can sell his mansion and live with the “poor people” he tried to exploit. This humbling experience will teach the investor that you can’t game the banking system to profit off the backs of the proletariat.
Remember, we’re all in this together, right? This problem is an epidemic of far reaching proportions. We need to act quickly to restore confidence.
This is, of course, a stupid idea of colossal proportion. It’s socialist to the core. I’ve said that failure is a costly but cogent instructor. Failure has a five year effect on foreclosed borrowers as does the Happy Homeowners Act of 2008. Failure, however, makes America grow up while government intervention perpetuates the Peter Pan syndrome permeating the housing industry, from Wall Street to Main Street.
I’d rather be broke, homeless, and free rather than a slave to the system…but that belief… won’t get me any votes.
A chicken in every pot, a pot in every kitchen, a kitchen in every home, a home for every American…regardless of the cost…
Brady in 2008.
Toby & Sadie says:
Have Oprah’s people called yet?
I have to admit though that the investor moving in with their “subjects” sounds like a fun theme. Wasn’t that a Danny Devito movie?
December 8, 2007 — 1:44 pm
Brian Brady says:
Click the link, Toby- Joe Pesci
December 8, 2007 — 2:15 pm
Jeff Kempe says:
>I’d rather be broke, homeless, and free rather than a slave to the system…but that belief… won’t get me any votes.
HA! That gets mine, and I suspect at least twenty-two or so others, assuming you’d vote for yourself.
PS How DOES a mortgage guy from San Diego get quoted in The Miami Herald?
December 8, 2007 — 3:10 pm
Chris Lengquist says:
It all sounds too complicated. Just run with Halle Barry and I’ll vote for you. 🙂
December 8, 2007 — 4:40 pm
Jeff Brown says:
I’ll lend my alter ego, Darth BawldGuy to be your running mate.
December 8, 2007 — 4:57 pm
Doug Lindstrom says:
Go Brady, go!
While I feel for those that are loosing their shorts right now, I must say that we, Coloradoans are being sucked into your sink hole. We have been in a stagnant market for years and now the press goes all doom and gloom on us. If you are looking for a place that has already hit botton, come here.
Brady, start telling people about our market and I’ll vote for you.
December 8, 2007 — 5:51 pm
Kris Berg says:
I will withdraw my own candidacy, vote for you, and even be your running mate if you promise to make American Homebuying Day part of your platform.
December 8, 2007 — 5:57 pm
Brian Brady says:
“PS How DOES a mortgage guy from San Diego get quoted in The Miami Herald?”
I’ll defer that question to Dan Green- the king of all media
I’ll announce my running mate, in Colorado, on May 16 (I want to see how American Homebuying Day plays out)
Ron Paul ain’t got nuthin’ on my viral-ability- I’m a blogger
December 8, 2007 — 7:12 pm
Doreen says:
Finally someone to vote for. I was starting to get worried about this election…
December 8, 2007 — 7:32 pm
Jeff Belonger says:
Brian,
I thought this was excellent with some great ideas. One reason why you won’t be elected though is because this it true honesty at its best. Many politicians tell you what you want to hear. I read that other comment… and I should keep my mouth shut, but my point to this is that Perot told it how it was. What happened?
December 8, 2007 — 8:25 pm
Dick Weiss says:
Brilliant. You certainly won’t get any votes from the general public. You are way to smart to be a politician anyway. I am looking at this bubble from another perspective. I am a real estate investor that specializes in foreclosures and short sales. This government program won’t help anything and my guess is it will make it even worse with more paperwork and bureaucracy. My business in booming and I think it will continue to do so for some time. I have been accused of being a vulture investor but what to vultures do? They clean up the mess.
Come visit my blog at http://www.shortclosures.com
December 9, 2007 — 6:12 am
sean carr says:
Brilliant! I think your on to something…why not start with a run for governor?
December 10, 2007 — 7:26 am
Robert D. Ashby says:
Brian,
Finally got my Interent back. You definitely get my vote. Excellent piece. I wish the government would stop prolonging the agony and let things run their course. Case in point – tomorrow’s Fed decision.
December 10, 2007 — 9:01 am
Leigh Brown says:
You silly man-this entire idea is premised on folks taking personal responsibility for their decisions and actions…which is sadly what makes it all a pipe dream. Big gubment is going to save us all (excuse, save THEM at MY expense). Alas.
December 10, 2007 — 11:19 am
Jeff Kempe says:
Mark Steyn says it as only Mark Steyn can:
By fiat of the Treasury Secretary, your Adjustable Rate Mortgage is henceforth an Unadjustable Adjustable Rate Mortgage. These new UNARMs will spread their healing balm across the land until it’s safe enough for the housing “market” to once again be exposed to market forces.
December 10, 2007 — 12:38 pm
Brian Brady says:
Awesome, Jeff.
December 10, 2007 — 4:00 pm