Governor Schwarzenneger brokered a bailout for California sub-prime borrowers with four major servicers:
Countrywide, GMAC, Litton and HomeEq – which collectively service more than one quarter of subprime loans to people with poor credit – agreed to maintain the initial, lower interest rate for some subprime borrowers whose rates are scheduled to jump significantly higher. To qualify, borrowers must occupy their homes, have made their payments on time and prove they cannot afford payments with the higher interest rate.
You had to see it coming. California is a mess right now with foreclosures. An argument could be made that sub-prime borrowers weren’t charged enough for the risk lenders took on them. Did the Governor, in fact, reward the feckless few who blindly bought into an inflated market? Does the measure penalize the responsible who waited for realistic prices and saved their sheckles for a down payment?
Two stipulations of the bailout are:
(a)- the borrower must be making timely payments, and
(b) the borrower must demonstrate an inability to service the higher payment.
While sub-prime loans are traditionally earmarked for the credit challenged, lenders extended these loans to good credit borrowers. Those borrowers bought a home that they couldn’t afford, with no money down. This program may very well reward people who lied to get a “smokin’ deal” and who now cry foul when that subsidized deal is taken away. The only exit strategy these borrowers had was to refinance out of the loan. That strategy was predicated upon a continual rise in property values. I know this; I work in the eye of the hurricane.
So, does Gena Reide. She’s a real estate broker in Sacramento, a community that has been hit hard by the meteoric rise in prices and subsequent drop back down to reality. Her ebullient report about this measure suggests that it is an idea that is long overdue.
Many have said that the homeowners in foreclosure should take responsibility and not receive any bail-out help Federally. It’s time that everyone realize that this doesn’t just effect those homeowners losing their homes, it effects ALL of US. New laws need to be enacted where this type of lending practice is not to be readily used for the masses. More regulation and protection for the home buyer needs to be established in the lending field.
Lenn Harley, however, asks the questions the rest of the country must be dying to ask. She wonders why so many Californians have sub-prime loans. Her market, suburban DC, experienced the same price appreciation as California yet is not experiencing the fallout.
IS CALIFORNIA REAL ESTATE THAT DIFFERENT FROM MARYLAND?
During those years, I supervised about 15-20 agents. During those years, we settled about 450 home purchase contracts for Maryland buyers. I can remember only one (1) sub-prime loan closing. It is possible that some of our buyers closed sub-prime loans without my knowledge. However, I was in close communication with our home buyers in Maryland. If there were cases where our buyers were not qualifying for conventional loans and were sent to subprime borrowers, it must have gone very smoothly or I’d have heard about it.The one subprime of which I’m aware was a buyer that I helped myself because she was referred to me by my attorney. The buyer contracted for a new home and was rejected by the builder’s lender, but they agreed to outside financing. It was a difficult loan but finally closed with a 2/27 on which the buyer defaulted after 5 months which surprised me not one bit. The mortgage loan officer that did the loan worked like a dog to get it closed. It was the hardest loan I had ever seen and probably that great loan officers most difficult loan too. He took the loan only because he received 35-35 loans a year from buyers referred by Homefinders agents including myself. If all subprimes are as difficult as that one, I don’t envy the loan officers who do them on a regular basis. When the loan officer said he “would get it closed”, I knew he would because in 15 years, he had never failed to close a buyer I brought to him. I believe we both regretted that one.
Is this measure politically motivated? You betchya. The Governator is taking care of his own, regardless of the inequities it levies on the rest of the country. The lenders are in a bind so they’ll appreciate this artificial market stabilization until the rest of the country catches up. This is Nixonian economics, plain and simple. THAT interventionist policy exacerbated rather than solved the problem of inflation.
What I’m about to say will be unpopular in the Golden State; housing prices are artificially inflated and need to come down meet rational economic models. Borrowers who make $90,000 annually can’t afford $700,000 homes. You can intervene in markets but the price of Amsterdam tulips will naturally gravitate towards its real economic value.
I’m a pragmatist. This is a dumb idea but I’ll play ball. You got one guy looking this way, the other guy looking that, and I’m the guy in the middle saying “Whaddayawantfromeme?”
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Robert Kerr says:
I don’t like the idea, either, Brian, but for different reasons.
This CA proposal has to rank right up there with the most well-disguised scams of all time. The Governor is busy patting himself on the back, the press is fawning over the lenders’ benevolence …and the lenders are laughing all the way to the bank.
This isn’t a bailout, it’s Loan Sharking 101. When your borrower starts drowning under the vig, you cut back the vig, roll it over onto the principal and keep bleeding, at a slower rate.
Did Arnold’s advisors get this great idea from watching Richie Aprile run his shy on The Sopranos?
An upside-down borrower with a $400K mortgage on a $300K home isn’t helped with temporarily frozen payments. If the lenders really wanted to help, they would reappraise and write off some or all of the overvaluation.
November 23, 2007 — 9:26 am
Brian Brady says:
Richie was a mad dog. Tony just took more collateral (Meadow’s friend’s truck)
November 23, 2007 — 10:08 am
Sean M. Broderick, CCIM says:
Brian.. I think I read that this was attempted in Maryland from the State Gov’t and they haven’t closed on one loan yet.. It’s a feel good story for the guvnor, while we pay for his $5k/mo hotel room down the block from the capitol.. perhaps he should contact the lender of the hotel and ask them to forgive his $5k/mo payment for the good people of california..
November 23, 2007 — 11:11 am
Chris says:
I think they should just let the market correct. It seems that the housing prices are very inflated in CA from what I have been reading. Incomes either need to rise, or housing prices and cost of living need to fall.
What I don’t understand is why CA seems to have so many more foreclosures than my area. Along the CT coast we have some of the most expensive housing markets in the world, Greenwich is usualy right up their in property values with the most expensive areas in CA. However foreclosures largely happen in the poor cities, Bridgeport, New Haven, Waterbury are getting hit. While their are a few more foreclosures in the more expensive areas, they are not as commen as you would think.
November 23, 2007 — 12:27 pm
Jeff Brown says:
Brian — What are the arguments for the thinking the lenders would’ve done something like this anyway, and for their own self serving reasons, of which there are many?
November 23, 2007 — 12:48 pm
Brian Brady says:
That’s a whole ‘nuther post, Jeff. Here’s an encapsulated version with a nod to Robert Kerr.
These four lenders are low level shylocks; it’s never been their money. The low level shys guaranteed the performance of the loans to the Godfather (Wall Street). If they have to eat the loans and whack the borrowers, they have to pay the Godfather his full action- they aren’t ready to do that.
Stretch out the vig and you never have to tell the Godfather that you made a bad loan.
November 23, 2007 — 1:51 pm
Jeff Brown says:
Talk about a self serving reason. 🙂
They’re apparently avoiding any offers they won’t be able to refuse.
November 23, 2007 — 2:06 pm
Gabriel Silverstein says:
I agree the actions as it relates to these four lenders might have been a logical forthcoming event anyway, but let’s not forget that they are servicers on these loans at this point, not the actual owners, so it’s more significant than them just deciding this – it’s a collateralized pool of owners that is taking the hit. They aren’t doing it just out of the goodness of their hearts, of course, they are doing it because if lenders hate ending up owning real estate, wall street syndicates REALLY hate it – they don’t have the first idea what to do, so they will do anything to avoid having to foreclose. This is the next logical step.
That said, I have to say this: it doesn’t matter how underwater a borrower is on their appraised value vs. market value if they make their payments. Caveat emptor – buyer beware – and be prepared to take responsibility for your actions. If you unexpectedly lose your job, well, that’s a bit hard to plan for, but if you just overextend yourself and want me as an investor in lending conduits or instituations, or worse as a fellow taxpayer, to bail you out, guess what, you’re not getting my sympathy.
We all make bad decisions, but just expecting continual get out of jail free cards is not right. Sure, it might take another 5 years for the market to more moderately move itself back to where those buyers can sell their home and get out from under their “oppresive” mortgage, but that’s hardly horrific – my grandparents owned the same house for 50 years and probably never knew what it was worth in between buying it and the time they left this world.
This is why the bankruptcy laws were overhauled in recent years – people would just rack up big credit charges and then get them written off without having to face up to their own actions. Welcome to reality Mr. Subprime Borrower.
November 24, 2007 — 7:12 pm
nothappy says:
Anyone who has not put a significant down-payment on their house should not get any bailout. Mortgage service companies made money by selling the mortgage. The teaser-freezer will enable them to get sued and take back many loans because the lenders did not fulfill their obligations/duties. You and me have 401k investment with 6~8% return on these loans. The fund-managers will not have any problem retiring or finding another money managing job. I am willing to take loss so that we can fix it on next the time. While some-homeowners who bought their homes during last 2 years will have to foreclose.. its only folks who did not really put any down-payment. Folks with equity or down-payment will be able to hold onto their homes. I do not mind help for a person who put 20% down payment. I see people buying 500k home with 600k price, taking out equity of 100k or more for the latest model car. Now they are going to get 2% interest rate and people working at Wal-mart will have to work overtime so that they can buy food or pay rents when high inflation goes high. If housing crashes, my 401k will go 20% down, home equity will go down 25%.. these are all temporary. Tease freezer is permanent. One US dollar will worth 1/2 Canadian dollar. Gas price will be 8 dollars.. everything else will cost twice. And we will be left out with people who learnt that you do not need to pay for anything. Government will bail you out. Its much worse than communism. No one will be committed to work.
December 5, 2007 — 12:24 am
"scotty" Scott says:
Is there any help on a Negative Amortization Loan. It is set to raise the payment a lot this August.
Scotty
January 26, 2008 — 12:17 pm