There’s always something to howl about.

Why supplanting the National Association of Realtors can work where other reform initiatives have failed

I call it the Law of Somebody’s Dinner. Free market solutions to problems tend to work because entrepreneurs or investors won’t get to eat if they don’t. Government solutions tend not to work because government employees get paid the same — or even more — even if nothing works as advertised. Economists would call “Somebody’s Dinner” an incentive system, and predicting whether some proposed idea will work is a matter of evaluating the incentives — weighing the perceived attainable rewards against the anticipated costs.

This is why the existing reputation management sites for real estate agents tend not to work. The site itself has an incentive — traffic equals advertising dollars. The agents may perceive a reward in the form of a competitive advantage. But the actual end-users, consumers, do not perceive that they have anything to gain or lose, either from reporting agent activity or from perusing reports. In the case of reporting, the activity could only be seen as charity, doing good for others with no anticipated downstream return. Worse, consumers, especially buyers, are unlikely to make critical distinctions among real estate agents.

So why would I expect the kind of certification system we’re talking about to work so well that it could supplant the NAR in the minds of real estate consumers?

Because a very rigorous certification system would be a significant long-term marketing advantage to the certificants. Individual agents already try to market to the kinds of strengths certification would verify, but their efforts are too localized to have a significant impact upon public perceptions.

But if enough first-quality agents were to pursue certification, and if they were to market their certified status among their clients, we could achieve a critical mass that would eliminate uncertified agents from the mainstream of real estate transactions.

The incentive is the agent’s first, and only secondarily the client’s. In fact, consumers stand to realize great benefits by working with highly-skilled, scrupulously-ethical agents, but they only agree with that idea in the abstract, at most, for now.

But because certification brings agents a significant added marketing value, certified agents have a very strong incentive to promote the benefits of working with certified agents in their marketing and in their face-to-face presentations.

The secondary consequence — better and more ethical real estate transactions — is far more important and far more beneficial. But the consuming public, for now at least, is not well-enough informed to seek out better-trained, more-ethical agents. In their eyes, judging by their behavior, the perceived rewards for due diligence do not measure up to the anticipated costs. We can regard this as an error, if we like, but this is how things work out in reality right now.

But the primary consequence, a significant marketing advantage for certified agents, is positively viral. Agents who do better by their clients, and who pursue certification as a testament to the quality of their care, will do even better in the future as a consequence of attaining certification. They will promote the idea because promoting the idea will work not just to the benefit of their clients but to their own direct benefit.

As real estate agents, we are always looking for that edge over the competition, and the alignment of financial incentive with good behavior is the essence of a free market approach to a seemingly intractable problem.

 
More viewpoints, pro and con, on supplanting the NAR:

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