The best thing about Bloodhounds is the soft, supple skin along their necks and jowls.
I saw this on money.cnn.com:
They were referencing this quote from the Wall Street Journal:
My question for you is this:
How did you arrive at the 30% figure?
As you know, a normal market in Phoenix is about 25,000 active listings. It's possible that the absorption rate will turn out to be so slow that we may end up with a surfeit of inventory, but I can't see any reason to be raise alarms about inventory right now. The market is balanced, and, at the middle of the bell curve of residential real estate products, recent appreciation is mildly positive.
But what I would like to know is how you determine that "as many as 30% of properties for sale are currently owned by investors"? The only way I could think of ascertaining this as a matter of fact, rather than of gut-feeling, would be to go through the MLS listings one-by-one, comparing the listing data to the tax records. Even then, the error-rate would be huge. As you know, many investors falsely or erroneously report the residence address as the tax-billing address, intentionally or not giving the impression that the homes are owner-occupied. Add to this the considerable number of privately- and exclusively-offered homes, most of which would tend to be owner-occupied, and any correlation of listed to investor-owned homes seems to me to be impossible as a matter of practice.
Am I mistaken? Is there an actual basis in data for making this claim? I have taken you--and John Foltz and Jim Sexton, et alia--to task in the past for reporting anecdotes as facts. But if there is some factual way of determining that "as many as 30% of properties for sale are currently owned by investors," I would be delighted to learn what it is.
The fact is, you can prevail upon me for a free meal, if you like. I would love to learn what data gathering tools you have at your disposal, so I am certain that I would be more than enriched by picking your brain over lunch.
Greg Swann, ABR, CBR, CRS, E-Pro, GRI